CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$133.07
-1.51%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $20.33B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$50.51
-1.58%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.86B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 1759% more annual revenue ($7.74B vs $416.25M). CF leads profitability with a 27.1% profit margin vs -14.6%. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).
CF
Exceptional Buy83
out of 100
Grade: A-
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+39.3%
Fair Value
$227.38
Current Price
$133.07
$94.31 discount
Margin of Safety
-22.9%
Fair Value
$44.19
Current Price
$50.51
$6.32 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 49.3%
Earnings expanding 99.6% YoY
Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.1% and operating margin at 49.3%. Revenue growth of 17.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CF
No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (607M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 30/100), backed by strong 27.1% margins and 17.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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