CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsThe Mosaic Company (MOS)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$125.54
-0.94%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $19.23B
MOS
The Mosaic Company
$26.21
-5.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $8.79B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
The Mosaic Company generates 70% more annual revenue ($12.05B vs $7.08B). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 4.5%. MOS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.48. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CF
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
MOS
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+77.1%
Fair Value
$423.07
Current Price
$125.54
$297.53 discount
Margin of Safety
+60.9%
Fair Value
$79.56
Current Price
$26.21
$53.35 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency
4.5% margin — thin
Operating margin of 2.8%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MOS
The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.48 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : MOS
The primary concerns for MOS are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while MOS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.95 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 64/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. MOS offers better value entry with a 60.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →The Mosaic Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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