CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsThe Mosaic Company (MOS)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$117.54
-2.76%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $16.82B
MOS
The Mosaic Company
$22.24
-2.88%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $7.21B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
The Mosaic Company generates 68% more annual revenue ($12.43B vs $7.41B). CF leads profitability with a 23.7% profit margin vs 0.4%. MOS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.02. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B).
CF
Strong Buy75
out of 100
Grade: B
MOS
Buy62
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+49.7%
Fair Value
$217.58
Current Price
$117.54
$100.04 discount
Margin of Safety
+55.4%
Fair Value
$69.84
Current Price
$22.24
$47.60 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 33.6%
Earnings expanding 115.1% YoY
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
19.4% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency
0.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.8%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.7% and operating margin at 33.6%. Revenue growth of 19.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MOS
The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 14.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : MOS
The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 162.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while MOS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.81 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 19.4% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (273M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 62/100), backed by strong 23.7% margins and 19.4% revenue growth. MOS offers better value entry with a 55.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →The Mosaic Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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