WallStSmart

The Mosaic Company (MOS)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

The Mosaic Company generates 2842% more annual revenue ($12.25B vs $416.25M). MOS leads profitability with a -5.2% profit margin vs -14.6%. MOS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 52/100 (C-).

MOS

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 3.0Value: 6.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16

MP

Avoid

30

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.51
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSUndervalued (+53.5%)

Margin of Safety

+53.5%

Fair Value

$67.04

Current Price

$25.19

$41.85 discount

UndervaluedFair: $67.04Overvalued
MPSignificantly Overvalued (-22.9%)

Margin of Safety

-22.9%

Fair Value

$44.19

Current Price

$50.51

$6.32 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.19Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOS2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
119.7%10/10

Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.024/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
6.2%3/10

ROE of 6.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-6.0%2/10

Revenue declined 6.0%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-152.90M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.514/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-223.49M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MOS profiles as a turnaround stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.

MOS generates stronger free cash flow (-153M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

MOS scores higher overall (52/100 vs 30/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

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MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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