WallStSmart
MP

MP Materials Corp

NYSE: MP · BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING

$57.55
+0.65% today

Updated 2026-06-12

Market cap
$10.25B
P/E ratio
P/S ratio
29.48x
EPS (TTM)
$-0.40
Dividend yield
52W range
$30 – $100
Volume
6.3M

WallStSmart proprietary scores

28
out of 100
Grade: F
Strong Sell
Investment rating
4.7
Growth
C
7.5
Quality
B+
2.0
Profitability
F
4.0
Valuation
C
4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
1.5
Altman Z-Score
Distress
Industry rank
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →202 stocks currently score above 75

Price targets

Analyst target
$81.21
+41.11%
12-Month target
Intrinsic (DCF)
$37.03
Margin of safety
-55.41%
4 Strong Buy13 Buy0 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell

Price chart

Stock snapshot

Strengths
+ Revenue growth 118.60% QoQ
+ Debt/equity 0.44x — low leverage
Risks
- Altman Z 1.53 — distress zone
- Thin margins at -20.50%
- Negative free cash flow $-79.28M
- 55.41% above intrinsic value

Key financials

Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025TTM2026 (E)
Revenue$527.51M$253.44M$203.85M$275.46M$347.57M$0.5B
Net income$289.00M$24.31M$-65.42M$-85.87M$-7.97M
EPS$-0.40$0.35
Free cash flow$16.92M$-199.20M$-173.07M$-328.13M$-79.28M
Profit margin54.79%9.59%-32.09%-31.18%-20.50%

Recent insider activity

DateInsiderTypeSharesPrice
2026-06-03LITINSKY, JAMES H.Sale136,141$68.65
2026-06-03LITINSKY, JAMES H.Sale37,286$70.23
2026-06-03LITINSKY, JAMES H.Sale11,740$71.31

Peer comparison

CompanyMkt CapScoreGrowthProfitValueQualityMoSRating
MP$10.25B284.72.04.07.5-55.41%Avoid
BHP$230.71B625.39.04.36.0Buy
LIN$229.28B625.38.03.34.0-70.17%Buy
RIO$168.54B544.08.56.05.5+24.53%Buy
SCCO$168.01B659.310.03.78.0Strong Buy
NEM$116.90B7810.09.04.08.5-63.17%Strong Buy

Smart narrative

MP Materials Corp trades at $57.55. Our Smart Value Score of 28/100 indicates the stock is weak. The company scores 4/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.53, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $347.57M. with profit margins at -20.50%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $37.03.

Frequently asked questions

What is MP Materials Corp's stock price?

MP Materials Corp (MP) trades at $57.55, on a P/S of 29.5x. Those multiples show what the market is paying for each dollar of earnings and sales, which is the real starting point for judging whether the price is reasonable.

Is MP Materials Corp overvalued?

MP Materials Corp carries a Smart Value Score of 28/100 (Grade F), which we rate Strong Sell. That score blends growth, quality, and valuation into one read. On valuation specifically, our conservative DCF puts intrinsic value at $37.03 against the $57.55 price, so on cash flow terms the market is paying a premium for MP Materials Corp's growth. The Strong Sell rating reflects that growth and quality, while the DCF flags that the price already assumes a lot.

What is the price target of MP Materials Corp (MP)?

The 12-month analyst consensus target is $81.21, about 41.1% above the current $57.55. A consensus target is the average of Wall Street's 12-month forecasts, so it works as a sentiment gauge rather than a guarantee, and it resets with every earnings cycle.

What is the future stock price of MP by 2030?

Our research-backed model puts the 2030 base case at $166.21, built from revenue projections, a growth-adjusted P/S multiple, net debt, and share dilution. It is a scenario rather than a prediction, and the bull and bear cases around it matter more than the single number when you are sizing a position.

What is the intrinsic value of MP Materials Corp (MP)?

Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $37.03, a -55.4% margin of safety versus today's $57.55. Intrinsic value is what the projected cash flows are worth today. A negative reading means the price is running ahead of that conservative estimate, leaving little downside cushion if growth slows.

What is MP Materials Corp's revenue?

MP Materials Corp's trailing twelve-month revenue is $347.57M, and our model projects it reaching about $2.15B by 2030. Revenue scale anchors the valuation multiples and shows whether growth is reaching the top line, so it is best read alongside margin and growth trends to see if that revenue is getting more profitable over time.

Altman Z-Score?

MP Materials Corp's Altman Z-Score is 1.53, which places it in the distress. The Altman Z-Score gauges bankruptcy risk from profitability, leverage, and asset efficiency, and a higher reading points to lower financial distress risk.

Company info

SectorBASIC MATERIALS
IndustryOTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING
CountryUSA
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD

Quick metrics

P/S ratio29.48x
ROE-2.99%
Beta1.84
50D MA$61.83
200D MA$62.41
Shares out0.18B
Float0.14B
Short ratio
Avg volume6.3M

Performance

1 week+0.00%
1 month+8.52%
3 months+14.40%
YTD+29.55%
1 year
3 years
5 years