WallStSmart

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 3% more annual revenue ($7.94B vs $7.71B). CF leads profitability with a 27.5% profit margin vs 4.0%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.51. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).

CF

Exceptional Buy

83

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 9.5Value: 9.3Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.37

ICL

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CFUndervalued (+48.4%)

Margin of Safety

+48.4%

Fair Value

$238.91

Current Price

$123.24

$115.67 discount

UndervaluedFair: $238.91Overvalued
ICLUndervalued (+0.2%)

Margin of Safety

+0.2%

Fair Value

$5.76

Current Price

$4.59

$1.17 discount

UndervaluedFair: $5.76Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CF6 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
38.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
34.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 34.4%

Profit MarginProfitability
27.5%9/10

Keeps 28 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.518/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
31.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 31.1% YoY

ICL3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.6% YoY

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.5%8/10

16.5% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

CF0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

ICL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
4.3%3/10

ROE of 4.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.0%3/10

4.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
9.442/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CF

The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.5% and operating margin at 34.4%. Revenue growth of 12.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ICL

The strongest argument for ICL centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CF

No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : ICL

The primary concerns for ICL are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CF profiles as a mature stock while ICL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ICL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.

ICL is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.

CF generates stronger free cash flow (888M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 62/100), backed by strong 27.5% margins and 12.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CF Industries Holdings Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.

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ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

ICL Group Ltd, is a company specialized in minerals and chemical products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

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