WallStSmart

CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 0% more annual revenue ($7.74B vs $7.71B). CF leads profitability with a 27.1% profit margin vs 4.0%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.60. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).

CF

Exceptional Buy

83

out of 100

Grade: A-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 9.5Value: 9.3Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.37

ICL

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.13
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CFUndervalued (+41.0%)

Margin of Safety

+41.0%

Fair Value

$226.95

Current Price

$133.82

$93.13 discount

UndervaluedFair: $226.95Overvalued
ICLUndervalued (+0.5%)

Margin of Safety

+0.5%

Fair Value

$5.78

Current Price

$5.36

$0.42 discount

UndervaluedFair: $5.78Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CF6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.0x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
36.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.3%

EPS GrowthGrowth
99.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 99.6% YoY

Profit MarginProfitability
27.1%9/10

Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.608/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

ICL3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
51.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 51.6% YoY

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.5%8/10

16.5% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

CF0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

ICL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
4.3%3/10

ROE of 4.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.0%3/10

4.0% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
9.442/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CF

The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.1% and operating margin at 49.3%. Revenue growth of 17.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ICL

The strongest argument for ICL centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CF

No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : ICL

The primary concerns for ICL are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ICL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.

CF is growing revenue faster at 17.6% — sustainability is the question.

CF generates stronger free cash flow (607M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AGRICULTURAL INPUTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 27.1% margins and 17.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CF Industries Holdings Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.

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ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

ICL Group Ltd, is a company specialized in minerals and chemical products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Tel Aviv, Israel.

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