MP Materials Corp (MP)vsNutrien Ltd (NTR)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
NTR
Nutrien Ltd
$67.20
-2.61%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $31.85B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Nutrien Ltd generates 7633% more annual revenue ($26.88B vs $347.57M). NTR leads profitability with a 8.9% profit margin vs -20.5%. NTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
NTR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Margin of Safety
-31.4%
Fair Value
$55.61
Current Price
$67.20
$11.59 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 1250.0% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
19.0% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : NTR
The strongest argument for NTR centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. Revenue growth of 19.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.21 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : NTR
The primary concerns for NTR are Altman Z-Score, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while NTR is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
MP generates stronger free cash flow (-79M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NTR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 28/100) and 19.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Nutrien Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Nutrien Ltd. provides inputs, services and solutions for crops. The company is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.
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