MP Materials Corp (MP)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$50.51
-1.58%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.86B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$56.47
+0.55%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.31B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 737% more annual revenue ($3.48B vs $416.25M). SMG leads profitability with a 2.1% profit margin vs -14.6%. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).
MP
Avoid30
out of 100
Grade: F
SMG
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-22.9%
Fair Value
$44.19
Current Price
$50.51
$6.32 premium
Margin of Safety
-17.4%
Fair Value
$57.24
Current Price
$56.47
$0.77 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 119.7% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
1.1% revenue growth
Grey zone — moderate risk
2.1% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 119.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.81 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.95 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 119.7% — sustainability is the question.
SMG generates stronger free cash flow (307M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SMG scores higher overall (48/100 vs 30/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
Visit Website →Compare with Other OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?