MP Materials Corp (MP)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$57.67
+1.48%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.59B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 899% more annual revenue ($3.47B vs $347.57M). SMG leads profitability with a 3.2% profit margin vs -20.5%. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
SMG
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Margin of Safety
-17.6%
Fair Value
$57.14
Current Price
$57.67
$0.53 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Strong operational efficiency at 27.7%
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Grey zone — moderate risk
3.2% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.85 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
SMG generates stronger free cash flow (201M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SMG scores higher overall (53/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
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