CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$117.54
-2.76%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $16.82B
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$57.67
+1.48%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.59B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 113% more annual revenue ($7.41B vs $3.47B). CF leads profitability with a 23.7% profit margin vs 3.2%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.85. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B).
CF
Strong Buy75
out of 100
Grade: B
SMG
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+49.7%
Fair Value
$217.58
Current Price
$117.54
$100.04 discount
Margin of Safety
-17.6%
Fair Value
$57.14
Current Price
$57.67
$0.53 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 33.6%
Earnings expanding 115.1% YoY
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
19.4% revenue growth
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Strong operational efficiency at 27.7%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Grey zone — moderate risk
3.2% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.7% and operating margin at 33.6%. Revenue growth of 19.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.85 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.83 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 19.4% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (273M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 23.7% margins and 19.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AGRICULTURAL INPUTS Stocks
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