WallStSmart

The Mosaic Company (MOS)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

The Mosaic Company generates 254% more annual revenue ($12.05B vs $3.40B). MOS leads profitability with a 4.5% profit margin vs 2.6%. SMG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.72. MOS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

MOS

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.0Value: 10.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.22

SMG

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 3.3Profit: 4.0Value: 8.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MOSUndervalued (+60.9%)

Margin of Safety

+60.9%

Fair Value

$79.56

Current Price

$26.21

$53.35 discount

UndervaluedFair: $79.56Overvalued
SMGUndervalued (+3.8%)

Margin of Safety

+3.8%

Fair Value

$69.86

Current Price

$64.33

$5.53 discount

UndervaluedFair: $69.86Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MOS3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
0.7x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
16.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

SMG2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
-5.0510/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.728/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
4.8%3/10

ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

Operating margin of 2.8%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.70M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

SMG4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.904/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.6%3/10

2.6% margin — thin

Return on EquityProfitability
-47.6%2/10

ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.3%2/10

Revenue declined 3.3%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.48 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : SMG

The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.72 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : SMG

The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.

MOS is growing revenue faster at 5.6% — sustainability is the question.

SMG generates stronger free cash flow (-390M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AGRICULTURAL INPUTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

MOS scores higher overall (64/100 vs 43/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

Visit Website →

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?