Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsSteven Madden Ltd (SHOO)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.01
-3.37%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $234.04M
SHOO
Steven Madden Ltd
$44.03
-0.92%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $3.37B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Steven Madden Ltd generates 164% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $995.91M). SHOO leads profitability with a 2.9% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. SHOO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 59/100 (C).
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
SHOO
Buy59
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+73.6%
Fair Value
$14.84
Current Price
$4.01
$10.83 discount
Margin of Safety
+58.1%
Fair Value
$92.18
Current Price
$44.03
$48.15 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 75.4% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
18.0% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
2.9% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SHOO
The strongest argument for SHOO centers on EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : SHOO
The primary concerns for SHOO are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 43.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while SHOO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
SHOO is growing revenue faster at 18.0% — sustainability is the question.
FOSL generates stronger free cash flow (-23M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SHOO scores higher overall (59/100 vs 38/100) and 18.0% revenue growth. FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Steven Madden Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, supplies, markets and sells private label and brand name footwear for women, men and children in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Compare with Other FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?