Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsSteven Madden Ltd (SHOO)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.73
+5.35%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $288.59M
SHOO
Steven Madden Ltd
$42.93
+3.30%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $3.18B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Steven Madden Ltd generates 178% more annual revenue ($2.74B vs $985.17M). SHOO leads profitability with a 5.2% profit margin vs -7.1%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. SHOO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
FOSL
Avoid35
out of 100
Grade: F
SHOO
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+72.5%
Fair Value
$14.25
Current Price
$4.73
$9.52 discount
Margin of Safety
+58.9%
Fair Value
$93.83
Current Price
$42.93
$50.90 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 75.4% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
19.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 3.5%
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
5.2% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SHOO
The strongest argument for SHOO centers on EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 19.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : SHOO
The primary concerns for SHOO are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while SHOO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.
SHOO is growing revenue faster at 19.1% — sustainability is the question.
SHOO generates stronger free cash flow (205M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SHOO scores higher overall (61/100 vs 35/100) and 19.1% revenue growth. FOSL offers better value entry with a 72.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Steven Madden Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, supplies, markets and sells private label and brand name footwear for women, men and children in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
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