Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsOn Holding Ltd (ONON)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.10
+0.74%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $112.95M
ONON
On Holding Ltd
$35.16
-11.19%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $13.10B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
On Holding Ltd generates 178% more annual revenue ($3.01B vs $1.08B). ONON leads profitability with a 6.8% profit margin vs -5.5%. ONON appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.88. ONON earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).
FOSL
Hold37
out of 100
Grade: F
ONON
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FOSL.
Margin of Safety
-754.5%
Fair Value
$5.30
Current Price
$35.16
$29.86 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Growing faster than its price suggests
Revenue surging 22.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -39.3% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 15.2%
Earnings declined 81.7%
6.8% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Earnings declined 24.0%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ONON
The strongest argument for ONON centers on Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 22.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.88 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : ONON
The primary concerns for ONON are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 50.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while ONON is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
ONON carries more volatility with a beta of 2.15 — expect wider price swings.
ONON is growing revenue faster at 22.6% — sustainability is the question.
ONON generates stronger free cash flow (80M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ONON scores higher overall (53/100 vs 37/100) and 22.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
On Holding Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
On Holding AG develops and distributes sports products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
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