WallStSmart

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Deckers Outdoor Corporation generates 461% more annual revenue ($5.53B vs $985.17M). DECK leads profitability with a 18.4% profit margin vs -7.1%. DECK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.98. DECK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

DECK

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 9.0Value: 8.7Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 5.45

FOSL

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.0Value: 7.0Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

DECKUndervalued (+86.2%)

Margin of Safety

+86.2%

Fair Value

$585.62

Current Price

$82.76

$502.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $585.62Overvalued
FOSLUndervalued (+72.2%)

Margin of Safety

+72.2%

Fair Value

$14.12

Current Price

$6.65

$7.47 discount

UndervaluedFair: $14.12Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

DECK5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
45.6%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 46 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.4510/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.239/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.988/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
12.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

FOSL0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

DECK1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
1.1%4/10

1.1% earnings growth

FOSL4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Market CapQuality
$399.18M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

Operating margin of 3.5%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-77.7%2/10

ROE of -77.7% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : DECK

The strongest argument for DECK centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.4% and operating margin at 15.2%. PEG of 0.98 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : FOSL

PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : DECK

The primary concerns for DECK are EPS Growth.

Bear Case : FOSL

The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

DECK profiles as a mature stock while FOSL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.56 — expect wider price swings.

DECK is growing revenue faster at 5.7% — sustainability is the question.

DECK generates stronger free cash flow (33M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

DECK scores higher overall (67/100 vs 38/100), backed by strong 18.4% margins. FOSL offers better value entry with a 72.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Deckers Outdoor Corporation

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA

Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs, markets and distributes footwear, apparel and accessories for casual lifestyle and high performance activities. The company is headquartered in Goleta, California.

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Fossil Group Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA

Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

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