Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
$31.13
+1.43%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $5.39B
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.73
+5.35%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $288.59M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Birkenstock Holding plc generates 130% more annual revenue ($2.27B vs $985.17M). BIRK leads profitability with a 14.8% profit margin vs -7.1%. BIRK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.96. BIRK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).
BIRK
Strong Buy65
out of 100
Grade: B-
FOSL
Avoid35
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-33.3%
Fair Value
$30.00
Current Price
$31.13
$1.13 premium
Margin of Safety
+72.5%
Fair Value
$14.25
Current Price
$4.73
$9.52 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 29.0%
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Earnings declined 13.0%
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 3.5%
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BIRK
The strongest argument for BIRK centers on PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 13.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.96 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : BIRK
The primary concerns for BIRK are Altman Z-Score, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BIRK profiles as a value stock while FOSL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.
BIRK is growing revenue faster at 13.3% — sustainability is the question.
BIRK generates stronger free cash flow (202M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
BIRK scores higher overall (65/100 vs 35/100) and 13.3% revenue growth. FOSL offers better value entry with a 72.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Birkenstock Holding plc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Birkenstock Holding plc manufactures and sells footwear products. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
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