Crocs Inc (CROX)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)
CROX
Crocs Inc
$119.35
-1.79%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $6.20B
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.01
-3.37%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $234.04M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Crocs Inc generates 304% more annual revenue ($4.02B vs $995.91M). CROX leads profitability with a -2.6% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. CROX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 44/100 (D).
CROX
Hold44
out of 100
Grade: D
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+27.5%
Fair Value
$114.12
Current Price
$119.35
$5.23 discount
Margin of Safety
+73.6%
Fair Value
$14.84
Current Price
$4.01
$10.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
ROE of -7.3% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 1.7%
Earnings declined 4.2%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CROX
The strongest argument for CROX centers on Altman Z-Score, Operating Margin. PEG of 1.39 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CROX
The primary concerns for CROX are Debt/Equity, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
CROX is growing revenue faster at -1.7% — sustainability is the question.
FOSL generates stronger free cash flow (-23M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
CROX scores higher overall (44/100 vs 38/100). FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Crocs Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Crocs, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets and distributes casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women and children. The company is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
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