Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsNike Inc (NKE)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.40
-0.90%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $239.36M
NKE
Nike Inc
$43.22
+0.39%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $62.62B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Nike Inc generates 4559% more annual revenue ($46.40B vs $995.87M). NKE leads profitability with a 6.7% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. NKE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
NKE
Buy62
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+73.2%
Fair Value
$14.62
Current Price
$4.40
$10.22 discount
Margin of Safety
+63.5%
Fair Value
$170.65
Current Price
$43.22
$127.43 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 428.0% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Generating 1.5B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 3.7%
Expensive relative to growth rate
6.7% margin — thin
Revenue declined 1.1%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NKE
The strongest argument for NKE centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NKE
The primary concerns for NKE are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while NKE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.63 — expect wider price swings.
NKE is growing revenue faster at -1.1% — sustainability is the question.
NKE generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NKE scores higher overall (62/100 vs 38/100). FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Nike Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Nike, Inc. is an American multinational corporation that is engaged in the design, development, manufacturing, and worldwide marketing and sales of footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories, and services. The company is headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon, in the Portland metropolitan area. It is the world's largest supplier of athletic shoes and apparel and a major manufacturer of sports equipment.
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