FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
NASDAQ: FOSL · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES
$4.10
-3.37% today
Updated 2026-06-03
Market cap
$234.04M
P/E ratio
—
P/S ratio
0.24x
EPS (TTM)
$-1.13
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$1 – $6
Volume
0.8M
WallStSmart proprietary scores
38
out of 100
Grade: D
Sell
Investment rating
2.0
Growth
F4.5
Quality
C3.5
Profitability
D7.0
Valuation
B+3/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak
1.6
Altman Z-Score
Distress
—
Industry rank
—
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →202 stocks currently score above 75
Price targets
Analyst target
$7.00
+70.73%
12-Month target
—
—
Intrinsic (DCF)
$14.84
Margin of safety
+73.58%
1 Strong Buy1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell
Price chart
Stock snapshot
Strengths
+ 73.58% below intrinsic value
Risks
- Piotroski 3/9 — weak financial health
- Altman Z 1.61 — distress zone
- Thin margins at -6.18%
- Negative free cash flow $-22.71M
- Revenue declining -3.60% QoQ
Key financials
Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.68B | $1.41B | $1.14B | $1.00B | $995.91M |
| Net income | $-44.16M | $-157.09M | $-102.67M | $-78.30M | $-810000.00 |
| EPS | — | — | — | — | $-1.13 |
| Free cash flow | $-124.12M | $-69.35M | $39.93M | $-60.46M | $-22.71M |
| Profit margin | -2.62% | -11.12% | -8.97% | -7.80% | -6.18% |
Recent insider activity
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | MARTIN, JOE T | Buy | 150,000 | — |
| 2026-04-15 | MARTIN, JOE T | Sale | 21,716 | $5.40 |
| 2026-04-15 | LOWENKRON, MELISSA B | Buy | 150,000 | — |
Peer comparison
Smart narrative
Fossil Group Inc trades at $4.10. Our Smart Value Score of 38/100 indicates the stock is weak. The company scores 3/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.61, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $995.91M. with profit margins at -6.18%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $14.84.
Frequently asked questions
What is Fossil Group Inc's stock price?
Fossil Group Inc (FOSL) trades at $4.10, on a P/S of 0.2x. Those multiples show what the market is paying for each dollar of earnings and sales, which is the real starting point for judging whether the price is reasonable.
Is Fossil Group Inc overvalued?
Fossil Group Inc carries a Smart Value Score of 38/100 (Grade D), which we rate Sell. That score blends growth, quality, and valuation into one read. Our DCF puts intrinsic value at $14.84 versus the $4.10 price, a 73.6% margin of safety on a cash flow basis.
What is the price target of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)?
The 12-month analyst consensus target is $7.00, about 70.7% above the current $4.10. A consensus target is the average of Wall Street's 12-month forecasts, so it works as a sentiment gauge rather than a guarantee, and it resets with every earnings cycle.
What is the intrinsic value of Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)?
Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $14.84, a +73.6% margin of safety versus today's $4.10. Intrinsic value is what the projected cash flows are worth today. A positive reading means the price sits below that estimate, leaving a cushion if growth holds.
What is Fossil Group Inc's revenue?
Fossil Group Inc's trailing twelve-month revenue is $995.91M. Revenue scale anchors the valuation multiples and shows whether growth is reaching the top line, so it is best read alongside margin and growth trends to see if that revenue is getting more profitable over time.
Altman Z-Score?
Fossil Group Inc's Altman Z-Score is 1.61, which places it in the distress. The Altman Z-Score gauges bankruptcy risk from profitability, leverage, and asset efficiency, and a higher reading points to lower financial distress risk.
Company info
SectorCONSUMER CYCLICAL
IndustryFOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES
CountryUSA
ExchangeNASDAQ
CurrencyUSD
Quick metrics
P/S ratio0.24x
ROE-58.30%
Beta1.65
50D MA$4.54
200D MA$3.61
Shares out0.06B
Float0.05B
Short ratio—
Avg volume0.8M
Performance
1 week—
1 month—
3 months—
YTD—
1 year—
3 years—
5 years—