CoreCivic Inc (CXW)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CXW
CoreCivic Inc
$31.47
-2.90%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.40B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$29.74
-1.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.18B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 14% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $2.48B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs 5.2%. CXW appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
CXW
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
GEO
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+48.1%
Fair Value
$35.63
Current Price
$31.47
$4.16 discount
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$29.74
$19.67 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 27.3% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
5.2% margin — thin
Distress zone — elevated risk
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CXW
The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 27.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CXW
The primary concerns for CXW are P/E Ratio, Profit Margin, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.
CXW is growing revenue faster at 27.3% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 61/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. CXW offers better value entry with a 48.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CoreCivic Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Visit Website →Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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