CoreCivic Inc (CXW)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CXW
CoreCivic Inc
$32.27
+0.09%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.96B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$30.69
+1.82%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.13B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 17% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $2.34B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 5.5%. CXW appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.06. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
CXW
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+45.0%
Fair Value
$33.67
Current Price
$32.27
$1.40 discount
Margin of Safety
+66.6%
Fair Value
$47.35
Current Price
$30.69
$16.66 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 65.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 25.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
5.5% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CXW
The strongest argument for CXW centers on EPS Growth, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 25.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CXW
The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO carries more volatility with a beta of 0.78 — expect wider price swings.
CXW is growing revenue faster at 25.8% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 67/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. CXW offers better value entry with a 45.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CoreCivic Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.
Visit Website →Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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