WallStSmart
GEO

Geo Group Inc

NYSE: GEO · INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES

$18.95
+0.69% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$2.51B
P/E ratio
10.41
P/S ratio
0.96x
EPS (TTM)
$1.82
Dividend yield
52W range
$13 – $32
Volume
2.4M

WallStSmart proprietary scores

74
out of 100
Grade: B
Buy
Investment rating
7.3
Growth
B+
5.8
Quality
C+
6.5
Profitability
B
8.7
Valuation
A
4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
Altman Z-Score
Industry rank
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →201 stocks currently score above 75

Price targets

Analyst target
$29.50
+55.67%
12-Month target
$17.14
-9.55%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$54.42
Margin of safety
+70.91%
0 Strong Buy3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell

Price chart

X-Ray snapshot

Strengths
+ Revenue growth 16.50% QoQ
+ 70.91% below intrinsic value
Risks
- Negative free cash flow $-153.56M

Key financials

Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025TTM
Revenue$2.38B$2.41B$2.42B$2.63B$2.63B
Net income$171.81M$107.33M$31.97M$254.37M$31.77M
EPS$1.82
Free cash flow$206.39M$211.93M$163.54M$-124.90M$-153.56M
Profit margin7.23%4.45%1.32%9.67%9.67%

Peer comparison

CompanyMkt CapScoreGrowthProfitValueQualityMoSRating
GEO$2.51B747.36.58.75.8+70.91%Strong Buy
CAT$386.56B554.77.54.34.5Buy
GEV$308.81B638.07.03.74.3Buy
GE$296.28B594.08.03.75.3Buy
RTX$234.67B597.36.03.36.0-49.24%Buy
BA$176.67B485.35.02.04.0-42.42%Hold

Smart narrative

Geo Group Inc trades at $18.95. representing a P/E of 10.41x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 74/100 indicates the stock is good. The company scores 4/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. TTM revenue stands at $2.63B. with profit margins at 9.67%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $54.42.

Frequently asked questions

What is Geo Group Inc's stock price?
Geo Group Inc (GEO) trades at $18.95.
Is Geo Group Inc overvalued?
Smart Value Score 74/100 (Grade B, Buy). DCF value $54.42.
What is the price target of Geo Group Inc (GEO)?
The analyst target price is $29.50, representing +55.7% upside from the current price of $18.95.
What is the intrinsic value of Geo Group Inc (GEO)?
Based on our DCF model, intrinsic value is $54.42, a +70.9% margin of safety versus $18.95.
What is Geo Group Inc's revenue?
TTM revenue is $2.63B.
Piotroski F-Score?
4/9 — moderate financial health.

Company info

SectorINDUSTRIALS
IndustrySECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
CountryUSA
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD

Quick metrics

P/S ratio0.96x
ROE17.90%
Beta0.69
50D MA$16.40
200D MA$18.19
Shares out0.13B
Float0.13B
Short ratio
Avg volume2.4M

Performance

1 week
1 month
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YTD
1 year
3 years
5 years