WallStSmart

ADT Inc (ADT)vsCoreCivic Inc (CXW)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ADT Inc generates 132% more annual revenue ($5.13B vs $2.21B). ADT leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs 5.3%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 9.6x. CXW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B).

ADT

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 2.7Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 7/9Altman Z: 0.46

CXW

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.5Value: 10.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.39
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADTSignificantly Overvalued (-69.0%)

Margin of Safety

-69.0%

Fair Value

$4.62

Current Price

$6.61

$1.99 premium

UndervaluedFair: $4.62Overvalued
CXWUndervalued (+63.4%)

Margin of Safety

+63.4%

Fair Value

$50.54

Current Price

$19.98

$30.56 discount

UndervaluedFair: $50.54Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADT3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
26.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.1%

CXW3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.0%8/10

Revenue surging 26.0% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
42.4%8/10

Earnings expanding 42.4% YoY

Areas to Watch

ADT3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.2%4/10

1.2% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
-17.0%2/10

Earnings declined 17.0%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.462/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

CXW3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-41.90M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.392/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADT

The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : CXW

The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 26.0% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ADT

The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : CXW

The primary concerns for CXW are Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADT profiles as a value stock while CXW is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 0.99 — expect wider price swings.

CXW is growing revenue faster at 26.0% — sustainability is the question.

ADT generates stronger free cash flow (235M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CXW scores higher overall (70/100 vs 56/100) and 26.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ADT Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

CoreCivic Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

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