WallStSmart

ADT Inc (ADT)vsCoreCivic Inc (CXW)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ADT Inc generates 108% more annual revenue ($5.16B vs $2.48B). ADT leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs 5.2%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 9.2x. CXW earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).

ADT

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.7Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 0.51

CXW

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.39
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ADTSignificantly Overvalued (-33.5%)

Margin of Safety

-33.5%

Fair Value

$5.85

Current Price

$6.54

$0.69 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.85Overvalued
CXWUndervalued (+48.1%)

Margin of Safety

+48.1%

Fair Value

$35.63

Current Price

$31.47

$4.16 discount

UndervaluedFair: $35.63Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ADT3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.2x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
24.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 24.1%

CXW2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
27.3%8/10

Revenue surging 27.3% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ADT4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.0%4/10

2.0% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
1.7%4/10

1.7% earnings growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.512/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
2.211/10

Elevated debt levels

CXW3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
27.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Profit MarginProfitability
5.2%3/10

5.2% margin — thin

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.392/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ADT

The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : CXW

The strongest argument for CXW centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 27.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.06 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ADT

The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.21 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : CXW

The primary concerns for CXW are P/E Ratio, Profit Margin, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ADT profiles as a value stock while CXW is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.

CXW is growing revenue faster at 27.3% — sustainability is the question.

ADT generates stronger free cash flow (620M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CXW scores higher overall (61/100 vs 60/100) and 27.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

ADT Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.

CoreCivic Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

CoreCivic, Inc. owns and operates partnership correctional, detention and residential reentry facilities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

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