Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsMSA Safety (MSA)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$21.76
+2.54%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.84B
MSA
MSA Safety
$169.94
-1.14%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $6.72B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 43% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $1.92B). MSA leads profitability with a 15.2% profit margin vs 10.0%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.74. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
GEO
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
MSA
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+71.5%
Fair Value
$55.59
Current Price
$21.76
$33.83 discount
Margin of Safety
-84.7%
Fair Value
$106.53
Current Price
$169.94
$63.41 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 20.6%
Earnings expanding 21.2% YoY
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.74 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MSA
The strongest argument for MSA centers on Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.2% and operating margin at 20.6%. PEG of 0.99 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MSA
No major red flags identified for MSA, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while MSA is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
MSA carries more volatility with a beta of 0.97 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (76/100 vs 74/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →MSA Safety
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products that protect people and facility infrastructure in the oil, gas, petrochemical, fire, construction, industrial manufacturing, utility, military, and mining industries in America. North, Latin America and internationally. . The company is headquartered in Cranberry Township, Pennsylvania.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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