Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsMSA Safety (MSA)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
MSA
MSA Safety
$176.03
+0.60%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $6.85B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 40% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $1.87B). MSA leads profitability with a 14.9% profit margin vs 9.7%. MSA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.99. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
MSA
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Margin of Safety
-307.5%
Fair Value
$48.28
Current Price
$176.03
$127.75 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 22 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Strong operational efficiency at 24.1%
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
2.2% revenue growth
Earnings declined 0.4%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MSA
The strongest argument for MSA centers on Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.99 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : MSA
The primary concerns for MSA are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while MSA is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MSA carries more volatility with a beta of 0.98 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
MSA generates stronger free cash flow (106M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 60/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →MSA Safety
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products that protect people and facility infrastructure in the oil, gas, petrochemical, fire, construction, industrial manufacturing, utility, military, and mining industries in America. North, Latin America and internationally. . The company is headquartered in Cranberry Township, Pennsylvania.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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