WallStSmart

Brinks Company (BCO)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Brinks Company generates 97% more annual revenue ($5.39B vs $2.73B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 3.3%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.74. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

BCO

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 5.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.36

GEO

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 9.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BCOOvervalued (-14.2%)

Margin of Safety

-14.2%

Fair Value

$114.47

Current Price

$107.22

$7.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $114.47Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+71.5%)

Margin of Safety

+71.5%

Fair Value

$55.59

Current Price

$21.76

$33.83 discount

UndervaluedFair: $55.59Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BCO1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
53.0%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 53 in profit

GEO5 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
106.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY

PEG RatioValuation
0.748/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
16.6%8/10

16.6% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

BCO4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
25.2x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.9x4/10

Trading at 15.9x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

3.3% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-34.7%2/10

Earnings declined 34.7%

GEO1 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.153/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BCO

The strongest argument for BCO centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 10.3% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.74 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BCO

The primary concerns for BCO are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 16.09 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BCO profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.07 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.

Monitor SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (76/100 vs 56/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Brinks Company

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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