Brinks Company (BCO)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
BCO
Brinks Company
$102.25
+1.47%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.19B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Brinks Company generates 100% more annual revenue ($5.26B vs $2.63B). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 3.8%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
BCO
Strong Buy66
out of 100
Grade: B-
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+40.6%
Fair Value
$219.96
Current Price
$102.25
$117.71 discount
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 59 in profit
Earnings expanding 86.0% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Trading at 15.1x book value
3.8% margin — thin
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BCO
The strongest argument for BCO centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : BCO
The primary concerns for BCO are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 16.09 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BCO profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
BCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.09 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
BCO generates stronger free cash flow (326M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 66/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. BCO offers better value entry with a 40.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Brinks Company
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
Visit Website →Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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