WallStSmart

Brinks Company (BCO)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Brinks Company generates 94% more annual revenue ($5.48B vs $2.83B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs 3.3%. BCO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.16. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

BCO

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.5Value: 5.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.26

GEO

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 8.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BCO.

GEOUndervalued (+68.0%)

Margin of Safety

+68.0%

Fair Value

$49.41

Current Price

$29.74

$19.67 discount

UndervaluedFair: $49.41Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BCO1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
68.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 69 in profit

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
71.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
15.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.1%8/10

15.1% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

BCO4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
14.2x4/10

Trading at 14.2x book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
4.1%4/10

4.1% earnings growth

Profit MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

3.3% margin — thin

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.262/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.063/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BCO

The strongest argument for BCO centers on Return on Equity. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BCO

The primary concerns for BCO are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 13.66 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BCO profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BCO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 56/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Brinks Company

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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