WallStSmart

Allegion PLC (ALLE)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Allegion PLC generates 52% more annual revenue ($4.29B vs $2.83B). ALLE leads profitability with a 15.4% profit margin vs 10.3%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.41. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

ALLE

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.5Value: 4.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.47

GEO

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.5Value: 8.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.72
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALLESignificantly Overvalued (-36.9%)

Margin of Safety

-36.9%

Fair Value

$131.08

Current Price

$151.36

$20.28 premium

UndervaluedFair: $131.08Overvalued
GEOUndervalued (+68.0%)

Margin of Safety

+68.0%

Fair Value

$49.41

Current Price

$29.74

$19.67 discount

UndervaluedFair: $49.41Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALLE2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
31.1%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 31 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
22.1%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.1%

GEO4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
71.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
15.0x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.1%8/10

15.1% revenue growth

Areas to Watch

ALLE2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.024/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

GEO2 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.724/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.063/10

Elevated debt levels

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALLE

The strongest argument for ALLE centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.4% and operating margin at 22.1%. Revenue growth of 12.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : GEO

The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ALLE

The primary concerns for ALLE are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : GEO

The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALLE profiles as a mature stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ALLE carries more volatility with a beta of 0.84 — expect wider price swings.

GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.

GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 66/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Allegion PLC

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

Allegion plc is an American-Irish provider based in Dublin of security products, for homes and businesses. It comprises thirty one global brands, including CISA, Interflex, LCN, Schlage and Von Duprin.

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Geo Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA

The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.

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