ADT Inc (ADT)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
ADT
ADT Inc
$6.54
-1.21%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.84B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$29.74
-1.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $4.18B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ADT Inc generates 83% more annual revenue ($5.16B vs $2.83B). ADT leads profitability with a 11.9% profit margin vs 10.3%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 9.2x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
ADT
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
GEO
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-33.5%
Fair Value
$5.85
Current Price
$6.54
$0.69 premium
Margin of Safety
+68.0%
Fair Value
$49.41
Current Price
$29.74
$19.67 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 24.1%
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
2.0% revenue growth
1.7% earnings growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ADT
The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : ADT
The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.21 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ADT profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.03 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
ADT generates stronger free cash flow (620M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 60/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ADT Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?