ADT Inc (ADT)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
ADT
ADT Inc
$6.79
+0.74%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.17B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ADT Inc generates 88% more annual revenue ($5.14B vs $2.73B). ADT leads profitability with a 12.1% profit margin vs 10.0%. ADT trades at a lower P/E of 8.9x. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
ADT
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-39.5%
Fair Value
$5.60
Current Price
$6.79
$1.19 premium
Margin of Safety
+66.8%
Fair Value
$47.69
Current Price
$25.31
$22.38 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 25.5%
Earnings expanding 26.4% YoY
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
0.9% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ADT
The strongest argument for ADT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Operating Margin.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ADT
The primary concerns for ADT are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ADT profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
ADT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
ADT generates stronger free cash flow (589M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 64/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ADT Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
ADT Inc. provides security, automation and smart home solutions to consumers and business customers in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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