Heartland Express Inc (HTLD)vsXPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc
$12.34
+1.23%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $935.73M
XPO
XPO Logistics Inc
$182.18
-0.09%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $22.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
XPO Logistics Inc generates 1064% more annual revenue ($8.57B vs $736.28M). XPO leads profitability with a 4.7% profit margin vs -3.0%. HTLD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.68. XPO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 61/100 (C+).
HTLD
Hold36
out of 100
Grade: F
XPO
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+27.2%
Fair Value
$16.24
Current Price
$12.34
$3.90 discount
Margin of Safety
-18.9%
Fair Value
$169.79
Current Price
$182.18
$12.39 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Earnings expanding 52.8% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -2.9% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 10.9x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
4.7% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HTLD
The strongest argument for HTLD centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity.
Bull Case : XPO
The strongest argument for XPO centers on EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : HTLD
The primary concerns for HTLD are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : XPO
The primary concerns for XPO are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 55.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.03 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HTLD profiles as a turnaround stock while XPO is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.70 — expect wider price swings.
XPO is growing revenue faster at 13.2% — sustainability is the question.
XPO generates stronger free cash flow (181M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
XPO scores higher overall (61/100 vs 36/100) and 13.2% revenue growth. HTLD offers better value entry with a 27.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Heartland Express Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Heartland Express, Inc., is a short- to medium-haul truck freight carrier in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.
XPO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides supply chain solutions in the United States, the rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, the rest of Europe, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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