WallStSmart
XPO

XPO Logistics Inc

NYSE: XPO · INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING

$182.18
-0.09% today

Updated 2026-09-11

Market cap
$22.25B
P/E ratio
55.90
P/S ratio
2.60x
EPS (TTM)
$3.40
Dividend yield
52W range
$121 – $232
Volume
0.9M

WallStSmart proprietary scores

61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Hold
Investment rating
6.7
Growth
B
4.5
Quality
C
6.0
Profitability
B
2.7
Valuation
F
4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
1.6
Altman Z-Score
Distress
Industry rank
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →251 stocks currently score above 75

Price targets

Analyst target
$174.53
-4.20%
12-Month target
$79.30
-56.47%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$169.79
Margin of safety
-18.87%
3 Strong Buy16 Buy4 Hold1 Sell1 Strong Sell

Price chart

Stock snapshot

Strengths
+ ROE 20.59% — strong efficiency
+ Free cash flow $181.00M — positive
+ Revenue growth 13.20% QoQ
Risks
- Altman Z 1.60 — distress zone
- Thin margins at 4.71%
- 18.87% above intrinsic value
- P/E 55.90x — expensive valuation
- Debt/equity 2.03x — high leverage

Key financials

Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025TTM2026 (E)
Revenue$7.72B$7.74B$8.07B$8.16B$8.57B$8.6B
Net income$666.00M$189.00M$387.00M$316.00M$162.00M
EPS$3.40$4.50
Free cash flow$311.00M$-851.00M$19.00M$329.00M$181.00M
Profit margin8.63%2.44%4.79%3.87%4.71%

Recent insider activity

DateInsiderTypeSharesPrice
2026-08-11BROWN, CHRISTOPHER MICHAELSale2,500$203.00
2026-08-11BROWN, CHRISTOPHER MICHAELSale1,250$199.81
2026-08-10BROWN, CHRISTOPHER MICHAELSale1,250$201.41

Peer comparison

CompanyMkt CapScoreGrowthProfitValueQualityMoSRating
XPO$22.25B616.76.02.74.5-18.87%Buy
SPCX$1.95T308.02.55.06.0Avoid
CAT$376.28B737.38.05.04.5Strong Buy
GE$335.82B656.08.03.74.5Buy
RTX$266.42B596.76.04.36.0Buy
GEV$250.87B698.07.05.05.0Strong Buy

Smart narrative

XPO Logistics Inc trades at $182.18. representing a P/E of 55.90x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 61/100 indicates the stock is good. The company scores 4/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.60, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $8.57B. with profit margins at 4.71%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $169.79.

Frequently asked questions

What is XPO Logistics Inc's stock price?

XPO Logistics Inc (XPO) trades at $182.18, on a P/E of 55.9x and a P/S of 2.6x. Those multiples show what the market is paying for each dollar of earnings and sales, which is the real starting point for judging whether the price is reasonable.

Is XPO Logistics Inc overvalued?

XPO Logistics Inc carries a Smart Value Score of 61/100 (Grade C+), which we rate Hold. That score blends growth, quality, and valuation into one read. On valuation specifically, our conservative DCF puts intrinsic value at $169.79 against the $182.18 price, so on cash flow terms the market is paying a premium for XPO Logistics Inc's growth. The Hold rating reflects that growth and quality, while the DCF flags that the price already assumes a lot.

What is the price target of XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)?

The 12-month analyst consensus target is $174.53, about 4.2% below the current $182.18. A consensus target is the average of Wall Street's 12-month forecasts, so it works as a sentiment gauge rather than a guarantee, and it resets with every earnings cycle.

What is the future stock price of XPO by 2030?

Our research-backed model puts the 2030 base case at $1,122.91, built from revenue projections, a growth-adjusted P/S multiple, net debt, and share dilution. It is a scenario rather than a prediction, and the bull and bear cases around it matter more than the single number when you are sizing a position.

What is the intrinsic value of XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)?

Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $169.79, a -18.9% margin of safety versus today's $182.18. Intrinsic value is what the projected cash flows are worth today. A negative reading means the price is running ahead of that conservative estimate, leaving little downside cushion if growth slows.

What is XPO Logistics Inc's revenue?

XPO Logistics Inc's trailing twelve-month revenue is $8.57B, and our model projects it reaching about $11.08B by 2030. Revenue scale anchors the valuation multiples and shows whether growth is reaching the top line, so it is best read alongside margin and growth trends to see if that revenue is getting more profitable over time.

Altman Z-Score?

XPO Logistics Inc's Altman Z-Score is 1.60, which places it in the distress. The Altman Z-Score gauges bankruptcy risk from profitability, leverage, and asset efficiency, and a higher reading points to lower financial distress risk.

Company info

SectorINDUSTRIALS
IndustryTRUCKING
CountryUSA
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD

Quick metrics

P/S ratio2.60x
ROE20.59%
Beta1.70
50D MA$202.66
200D MA$188.88
Shares out0.12B
Float0.10B
Short ratio
Avg volume0.9M

Performance

1 week-5.66%
1 month-13.68%
3 months-20.21%
YTD+34.04%
1 year+39.93%
3 years
5 years