Heartland Express Inc (HTLD)vsOld Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc
$15.52
0.00%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.22B
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
$245.52
-0.81%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $51.11B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc generates 616% more annual revenue ($5.46B vs $762.54M). ODFL leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs -5.7%. HTLD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.68. ODFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 46/100 (D+).
HTLD
Avoid34
out of 100
Grade: F
ODFL
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+30.4%
Fair Value
$16.98
Current Price
$15.52
$1.46 discount
Margin of Safety
-78.2%
Fair Value
$137.89
Current Price
$245.52
$107.63 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 23.8%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -5.8% — below average capital efficiency
Trading at 11.6x book value
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Revenue declined 2.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HTLD
The strongest argument for HTLD centers on Debt/Equity, Price/Book.
Bull Case : ODFL
The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 23.8%.
Bear Case : HTLD
The primary concerns for HTLD are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : ODFL
The primary concerns for ODFL are Price/Book, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 51.3x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HTLD profiles as a turnaround stock while ODFL is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
HTLD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.31 — expect wider price swings.
ODFL is growing revenue faster at -2.9% — sustainability is the question.
ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (311M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ODFL scores higher overall (46/100 vs 34/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins. HTLD offers better value entry with a 30.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Heartland Express Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Heartland Express, Inc., is a short- to medium-haul truck freight carrier in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc
INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.
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