WallStSmart

Heartland Express Inc (HTLD)vsKnight Transportation Inc (KNX)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Knight Transportation Inc generates 975% more annual revenue ($7.73B vs $719.24M). KNX leads profitability with a 0.6% profit margin vs -1.8%. KNX appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.25. KNX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

HTLD

Hold

36

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 2.0Value: 5.7Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.70

KNX

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.86
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HTLDUndervalued (+25.1%)

Margin of Safety

+25.1%

Fair Value

$15.77

Current Price

$10.19

$5.58 discount

UndervaluedFair: $15.77Overvalued
KNXUndervalued (+54.4%)

Margin of Safety

+54.4%

Fair Value

$134.15

Current Price

$60.88

$73.27 discount

UndervaluedFair: $134.15Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HTLD2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

KNX3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2510/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.4x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
23.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 23.8% YoY

Areas to Watch

HTLD4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.684/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Market CapQuality
$795.75M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.9%2/10

ROE of -2.9% — below average capital efficiency

KNX4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.864/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Return on EquityProfitability
0.6%3/10

ROE of 0.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.6%3/10

0.6% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
240.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HTLD

The strongest argument for HTLD centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity.

Bull Case : KNX

The strongest argument for KNX centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 12.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.25 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HTLD

The primary concerns for HTLD are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : KNX

The primary concerns for KNX are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 240.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HTLD profiles as a turnaround stock while KNX is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

HTLD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.35 — expect wider price swings.

KNX is growing revenue faster at 12.6% — sustainability is the question.

KNX generates stronger free cash flow (57M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

KNX scores higher overall (63/100 vs 36/100) and 12.6% revenue growth. HTLD offers better value entry with a 25.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Heartland Express Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Heartland Express, Inc., is a short- to medium-haul truck freight carrier in the United States and Canada. The company is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.

Knight Transportation Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., provides truck cargo transportation services in the United States, Mexico and Canada. The company is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.

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