Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsMistras Group Inc (MG)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$27.57
-2.48%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.63B
MG
Mistras Group Inc
$20.20
-1.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $685.95M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 282% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $739.17M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.3% profit margin vs 3.6%. MG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.96. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
MG
Buy61
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+67.7%
Fair Value
$49.07
Current Price
$27.57
$21.50 discount
Margin of Safety
+18.0%
Fair Value
$17.39
Current Price
$20.20
$2.81 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Earnings expanding 139.7% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Moderate valuation
4.2% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.6% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.18 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MG
The strongest argument for MG centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.96 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MG
The primary concerns for MG are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Market Cap. Thin 3.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while MG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.91 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 61/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. MG offers better value entry with a 18.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Mistras Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Mistras Group, Inc. provides technology-enabled asset protection solutions globally. The company is headquartered in Princeton Junction, New Jersey.
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