Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsMistras Group Inc (MG)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
MG
Mistras Group Inc
$17.60
-2.44%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $570.79M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 274% more annual revenue ($2.73B vs $731.44M). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 3.1%. MG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.11. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
MG
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Margin of Safety
+17.7%
Fair Value
$17.32
Current Price
$17.60
$0.28 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Moderate valuation
4.6% revenue growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.1% margin — thin
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MG
The strongest argument for MG centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.11 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MG
The primary concerns for MG are P/E Ratio, Revenue Growth, Market Cap. Thin 3.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while MG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.89 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 48/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. MG offers better value entry with a 17.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Mistras Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Mistras Group, Inc. provides technology-enabled asset protection solutions globally. The company is headquartered in Princeton Junction, New Jersey.
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