First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)vsYum! Brands Inc (YUM)
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$10.18
-0.59%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $763.78M
YUM
Yum! Brands Inc
$150.87
+1.88%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $42.53B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Yum! Brands Inc generates 568% more annual revenue ($8.49B vs $1.27B). YUM leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 1.4%. YUM trades at a lower P/E of 24.9x. YUM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
FWRG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
YUM
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-35.5%
Fair Value
$12.24
Current Price
$10.18
$2.06 premium
Margin of Safety
-88.7%
Fair Value
$84.31
Current Price
$150.87
$66.56 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 2290.0% YoY
17.3% revenue growth
Strong operational efficiency at 31.1%
Earnings expanding 72.2% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
15.2% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.8%
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : YUM
The strongest argument for YUM centers on Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 31.1%. Revenue growth of 15.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 44.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : YUM
The primary concerns for YUM are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 17.3% — sustainability is the question.
YUM generates stronger free cash flow (341M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
YUM scores higher overall (65/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 15.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent player in the fast-casual dining sector, specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, with a strong emphasis on health-conscious and high-quality culinary offerings. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base through an innovative and adaptable menu that reflects contemporary food trends. With a commitment to exceptional customer service and a unique dining experience, First Watch is strategically expanding its footprint in new markets, positioning itself for sustainable growth and increased shareholder value in a competitive landscape.
Visit Website →Yum! Brands Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Yum! Brands, Inc. is an American fast food corporation listed on the Fortune 1000. Yum! operates the brands KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, The Habit Burger Grill, and WingStreet worldwide, except in China, where the brands are operated by a separate company, Yum China.
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