WallStSmart
FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc

NASDAQ: FWRG · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS

$13.12
+1.63% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$792.50M
P/E ratio
41.48
P/S ratio
0.65x
EPS (TTM)
$0.31
Dividend yield
52W range
$10 – $20
Volume
1.9M

WallStSmart proprietary scores

56
out of 100
Grade: C+
Hold
Investment rating
8.7
Growth
A
3.5
Quality
D
4.0
Profitability
C
6.3
Valuation
B
2/9
Piotroski F-Score
Weak
1.2
Altman Z-Score
Distress
Industry rank
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →206 stocks currently score above 75

Price targets

Analyst target
$19.33
+47.33%
12-Month target
$11.43
-12.88%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$25.80
Margin of safety
+35.74%
2 Strong Buy9 Buy1 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell

Price chart

X-Ray snapshot

Strengths
+ Revenue growth 20.20% QoQ
+ 35.74% below intrinsic value
Risks
- Piotroski 2/9 — weak financial health
- Altman Z 1.15 — distress zone
- Thin margins at 1.59%
- Negative free cash flow $-17.56M
- P/E 41.48x — expensive valuation

Key financials

Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025TTM
Revenue$730.16M$891.55M$1.02B$1.22B$1.22B
Net income$6.91M$25.39M$18.93M$19.43M$15.16M
EPS$0.31
Free cash flow$-393000.00$10.65M$-12.28M$-30.99M$-17.56M
Profit margin0.95%2.85%1.86%1.59%1.59%

Recent insider activity

DateInsiderTypeSharesPrice
2026-03-17WOLSZCZAK, JAY ANTHONYSale3,161$12.52
2026-03-17TOMASSO, CHRISTOPHER ANTHONYSale25,062$12.52
2026-03-17SORENSEN, LAURA ANNESale1,697$12.52

Peer comparison

CompanyMkt CapScoreGrowthProfitValueQualityMoSRating
FWRG$792.50M568.74.06.33.5+35.74%Buy
AMZN$2.85T596.76.53.36.0-66.19%Buy
TSLA$1.43T336.74.02.07.5-46.49%Avoid
BABA$321.85B504.06.08.05.8+72.91%Buy
HD$321.53B502.77.53.35.8-35.55%Hold
TM$228.08B555.35.06.35.0Buy

Smart narrative

First Watch Restaurant Group Inc trades at $13.12. representing a P/E of 41.48x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 56/100 indicates the stock is fair. The company scores 2/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 1.15, it sits in the distress. TTM revenue stands at $1.22B. with profit margins at 1.59%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $25.80.

Frequently asked questions

What is First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's stock price?
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) trades at $13.12.
Is First Watch Restaurant Group Inc overvalued?
Smart Value Score 56/100 (Grade C+, Hold). DCF value $25.80.
What is the price target of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)?
The analyst target price is $19.33, representing +47.3% upside from the current price of $13.12.
What is the intrinsic value of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)?
Based on our DCF model, intrinsic value is $25.80, a +35.7% margin of safety versus $13.12.
What is First Watch Restaurant Group Inc's revenue?
TTM revenue is $1.22B.
Piotroski F-Score?
2/9 — weak financial health.
Altman Z-Score?
1.15 — distress.

Company info

SectorCONSUMER CYCLICAL
IndustryRESTAURANTS
CountryUSA
ExchangeNASDAQ
CurrencyUSD

Quick metrics

P/S ratio0.65x
ROE3.18%
Beta0.98
50D MA$12.40
200D MA$15.82
Shares out0.06B
Float0.06B
Short ratio
Avg volume1.9M

Performance

1 week-2.34%
1 month+23.19%
3 months-20.11%
YTD-14.39%
1 year
3 years
5 years