First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)vsStarbucks Corporation (SBUX)
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$10.18
-0.59%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $763.78M
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
$95.29
+1.22%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $108.85B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Starbucks Corporation generates 2926% more annual revenue ($38.47B vs $1.27B). SBUX leads profitability with a 3.9% profit margin vs 1.4%. FWRG trades at a lower P/E of 44.3x. FWRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
FWRG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
SBUX
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-35.5%
Fair Value
$12.24
Current Price
$10.18
$2.06 premium
Margin of Safety
+22.2%
Fair Value
$127.45
Current Price
$95.29
$32.16 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 2290.0% YoY
17.3% revenue growth
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 32.6% YoY
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.8%
ROE of 0.0% — below average capital efficiency
3.9% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SBUX
The strongest argument for SBUX centers on Debt/Equity, Market Cap, EPS Growth. PEG of 1.28 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 44.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : SBUX
The primary concerns for SBUX are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 72.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 3.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FWRG profiles as a growth stock while SBUX is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 17.3% — sustainability is the question.
SBUX generates stronger free cash flow (92M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
FWRG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 51/100) and 17.3% revenue growth. SBUX offers better value entry with a 22.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent player in the fast-casual dining sector, specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, with a strong emphasis on health-conscious and high-quality culinary offerings. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base through an innovative and adaptable menu that reflects contemporary food trends. With a commitment to exceptional customer service and a unique dining experience, First Watch is strategically expanding its footprint in new markets, positioning itself for sustainable growth and increased shareholder value in a competitive landscape.
Visit Website →Starbucks Corporation
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Starbucks Corporation is an American multinational chain of coffeehouses and roastery reserves headquartered in Seattle, Washington. As the world's largest coffeehouse chain, Starbucks is seen to be the main representation of the United States' second wave of coffee culture.
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