Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsFirst Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG)
CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
$29.34
+4.12%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $41.34B
FWRG
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
$10.18
-0.59%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $763.78M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 855% more annual revenue ($12.14B vs $1.27B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.0% profit margin vs 1.4%. CMG trades at a lower P/E of 29.6x. FWRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
CMG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
FWRG
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CMG.
Margin of Safety
-35.5%
Fair Value
$12.24
Current Price
$10.18
$2.06 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 60 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 2290.0% YoY
17.3% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Moderate valuation
Trading at 15.7x book value
Earnings declined 17.9%
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of 2.8% — below average capital efficiency
1.4% margin — thin
Operating margin of 0.8%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CMG
The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.
Bull Case : FWRG
The strongest argument for FWRG centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 17.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CMG
The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 2.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : FWRG
The primary concerns for FWRG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 44.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.4% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CMG profiles as a value stock while FWRG is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FWRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
FWRG is growing revenue faster at 17.3% — sustainability is the question.
CMG generates stronger free cash flow (471M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CMG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 54/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.
Visit Website →First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) is a prominent player in the fast-casual dining sector, specializing in breakfast, brunch, and lunch, with a strong emphasis on health-conscious and high-quality culinary offerings. Founded in 1983, the company has cultivated a loyal customer base through an innovative and adaptable menu that reflects contemporary food trends. With a commitment to exceptional customer service and a unique dining experience, First Watch is strategically expanding its footprint in new markets, positioning itself for sustainable growth and increased shareholder value in a competitive landscape.
Visit Website →Compare with Other RESTAURANTS Stocks
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