Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsMercadoLibre Inc. (MELI)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.43
-0.23%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $276.61M
MELI
MercadoLibre Inc.
$1,767.02
-1.39%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $90.88B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
MercadoLibre Inc. generates 2777% more annual revenue ($28.89B vs $1.00B). MELI leads profitability with a 6.9% profit margin vs -7.8%. MELI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.83. MELI earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).
FOSL
Hold37
out of 100
Grade: F
MELI
Buy62
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+79.3%
Fair Value
$18.96
Current Price
$4.43
$14.53 discount
Margin of Safety
+59.5%
Fair Value
$4981.85
Current Price
$1767.02
$3214.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Every $100 of equity generates 36 in profit
Revenue surging 44.6% year-over-year
Large-cap with strong market position
Growing faster than its price suggests
Generating 4.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 4.5%
ROE of -69.7% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 18.0%
Trading at 13.3x book value
6.9% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : MELI
The strongest argument for MELI centers on Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 44.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.83 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : MELI
The primary concerns for MELI are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 45.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while MELI is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.75 — expect wider price swings.
MELI is growing revenue faster at 44.6% — sustainability is the question.
MELI generates stronger free cash flow (4.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
MELI scores higher overall (62/100 vs 37/100) and 44.6% revenue growth. FOSL offers better value entry with a 79.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
MercadoLibre Inc.
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · INTERNET RETAIL · USA
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online trading platforms in Latin America. The company is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Compare with Other FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES Stocks
Want to dig deeper into these stocks?