Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsThe Home Depot Inc (HD)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.01
-3.37%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $234.04M
HD
The Home Depot Inc
$310.78
+0.73%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $310.62B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
The Home Depot Inc generates 16628% more annual revenue ($166.59B vs $995.91M). HD leads profitability with a 8.4% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. HD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
HD
Buy54
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+73.6%
Fair Value
$14.84
Current Price
$4.01
$10.83 discount
Margin of Safety
-46.5%
Fair Value
$212.07
Current Price
$310.78
$98.71 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Every $100 of equity generates 101 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Generating 5.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
4.8% revenue growth
Weak financial health signals
Trading at 22.3x book value
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : HD
The strongest argument for HD centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : HD
The primary concerns for HD are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 4.18 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while HD is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
HD is growing revenue faster at 4.8% — sustainability is the question.
HD generates stronger free cash flow (5.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
HD scores higher overall (54/100 vs 38/100). FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
The Home Depot Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · HOME IMPROVEMENT RETAIL · USA
The Home Depot, Inc., commonly known as Home Depot, is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, supplying tools, construction products, and services. The company is headquartered in incorporated Cobb County, Georgia, with an Atlanta mailing address.
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