FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
FDX
FedEx Corporation
$318.57
+0.85%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $74.13B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$23.60
-1.95%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $18.20B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
FedEx Corporation generates 84% more annual revenue ($94.72B vs $51.49B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 4.7%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
FDX
Buy59
out of 100
Grade: C
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-29.6%
Fair Value
$283.32
Current Price
$318.57
$35.25 premium
Margin of Safety
+64.2%
Fair Value
$69.44
Current Price
$23.60
$45.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.8B in free cash flow
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
4.7% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Earnings declined 4.3%
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FDX
The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 12.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.30 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FDX
The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, EPS Growth. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FDX profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.36 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
FedEx Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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