WallStSmart

FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

FedEx Corporation generates 79% more annual revenue ($91.93B vs $51.49B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 4.9%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

FDX

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.22

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FDXSignificantly Overvalued (-34.6%)

Margin of Safety

-34.6%

Fair Value

$272.76

Current Price

$331.00

$58.24 premium

UndervaluedFair: $272.76Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FDX3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$80.83B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Price/BookValuation
2.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.04B8/10

Generating 1.0B in free cash flow

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

FDX3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
4.9%3/10

4.9% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.413/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FDX

The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow. PEG of 1.43 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : FDX

The primary concerns for FDX are Profit Margin, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 4.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FDX profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.30 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 63/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

FedEx Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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