Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$147.23
-0.45%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.58B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.14
-1.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 344% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $11.07B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 7.3%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).
EXPD
Hold45
out of 100
Grade: D
ZTO
Strong Buy72
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-37.8%
Fair Value
$117.46
Current Price
$147.23
$29.77 premium
Margin of Safety
+81.1%
Fair Value
$131.93
Current Price
$25.14
$106.79 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
Trading at 8.4x book value
7.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EXPD profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
EXPD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.08 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (72/100 vs 45/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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