ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
NYSE: ZTO · INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
$25.14
-1.76% today
Updated 2026-05-01
Market cap
$19.28B
P/E ratio
15.33
P/S ratio
0.39x
EPS (TTM)
$1.64
Dividend yield
2.74%
52W range
$16 – $26
Volume
1.7M
WallStSmart proprietary scores
72
out of 100
Grade: B
Buy
Investment rating
6.7
Growth
B7.0
Quality
B+7.0
Profitability
B+8.0
Valuation
A4/9
Piotroski F-Score
Moderate
2.7
Altman Z-Score
Grey zone
—
Industry rank
—
View all highly rated stocks (75+) →198 stocks currently score above 75
Price targets
Analyst target
$28.84
+14.72%
12-Month target
$27.27
+8.47%
Intrinsic (DCF)
$131.93
Margin of safety
+81.13%
5 Strong Buy12 Buy2 Hold0 Sell0 Strong Sell
Price chart
X-Ray snapshot
Strengths
+ Free cash flow $11.97B — positive
+ Revenue growth 12.30% QoQ
+ 81.13% below intrinsic value
+ Debt/equity 0.19x — low leverage
Risks
No major risks identified
Key financials
Revenue Net Income Free Cash Flow
| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM | 2026 (E) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $35.38B | $38.42B | $44.28B | $47.76B | $49.10B | $55.0B |
| Net income | $6.81B | $8.75B | $8.82B | $8.83B | $2.59B | — |
| EPS | — | — | — | — | $1.64 | $12.89 |
| Free cash flow | $3.12B | $6.69B | $5.53B | $5.89B | $11.97B | — |
| Profit margin | 19.25% | 22.77% | 19.91% | 18.49% | 18.50% | — |
Peer comparison
Smart narrative
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc trades at $25.14. representing a P/E of 15.33x trailing earnings. Our Smart Value Score of 72/100 indicates the stock is good. The company scores 4/9 on the Piotroski F-Score. With an Altman Z-Score of 2.74, it sits in the grey zone. TTM revenue stands at $49.10B. with profit margins at 18.50%. Our DCF model estimates intrinsic value at $131.93.
Frequently asked questions
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's stock price?
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) trades at $25.14.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc overvalued?
Smart Value Score 72/100 (Grade B, Buy). DCF value $131.93.
What is the price target of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)?
The analyst target price is $28.84, representing +14.7% upside from the current price of $25.14.
What is the intrinsic value of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)?
Based on our DCF model, intrinsic value is $131.93, a +81.1% margin of safety versus $25.14.
What is the future stock price of ZTO by 2030?
Our research-backed model estimates ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc could reach $1,230.03 by 2030, based on analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.
What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's revenue?
TTM revenue is $49.10B.
Piotroski F-Score?
4/9 — moderate financial health.
Altman Z-Score?
2.74 — grey zone.
Company info
SectorINDUSTRIALS
IndustryINTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
CountryChina
ExchangeNYSE
CurrencyUSD
Quick metrics
P/S ratio0.39x
ROE14.20%
Beta-0.18
50D MA$24.61
200D MA$21.37
Shares out0.56B
Float0.39B
Short ratio—
Avg volume1.7M
Performance
1 week-1.87%
1 month+0.76%
3 months+11.68%
YTD+20.34%
1 year—
3 years—
5 years—