ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock (ZTO) is currently trading at $24.46. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc PE ratio is 15.15. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 0.38. Analyst consensus price target for ZTO is $24.93. WallStSmart rates ZTO as Moderate Buy.
- ZTO PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- ZTO PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- ZTO intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- ZTO stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- ZTO fair value vs current price
- ZTO insider transactions and insider buying
- Is ZTO undervalued or overvalued?
- ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- ZTO Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- ZTO analyst price target and Smart Rating
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
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ZTO Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
ZTO is trading near its Graham intrinsic value of $28.01, suggesting the stock is reasonably priced at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, operating margin, price/sales. Concerns around institutional own.. Overall metrics suggest strong investment potential with favorable risk/reward.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Key Strengths (5)
Paying less than $1 for every $1 of annual revenue
Large-cap company with substantial market presence
Strong operational efficiency: $20 kept per $100 revenue
Trading at 1.93x book value, attractively priced
Strong profitability: $19 kept per $100 revenue
Supporting Valuation Data
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Areas to Watch (5)
Very low institutional interest at 11.79%
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Modest earnings growth at 6.90%
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Solid revenue growth at 11.10% per year
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 66/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a B- grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 5 register as strengths (avg 8.6/10) while 5 fall into concern territory (avg 4.2/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Price/Sales, Market Cap, Operating Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Sales (0.38), Price/Book (1.93) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Operating Margin at 20.30%, Profit Margin at 18.60%.
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Institutional Own., PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.15) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at 11.10%, EPS Growth at 6.90%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 14.20%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Institutional Own. improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 14.20% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at 11.10% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. Strengths and concerns are roughly balanced. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Price/Sales, Market Cap) and negatives (Institutional Own., PEG Ratio). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) · INDUSTRIALS › INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
The Big Picture
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a mature, profitable business with steady cash generation. Revenue reached 47.5B with 11% growth year-over-year. Profit margins of 18.6% are healthy, with room for further expansion as the business scales.
Key Findings
ROE of 1420.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 7.7B in free cash flow and 7.7B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
What to Watch Next
Sector dynamics: monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
Bottom Line
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is a well-established business delivering consistent profitability with 18.6% margins. The growth phase may be slowing, but strong cash generation and operational efficiency make it suitable for investors seeking reliability over excitement.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:45:06 PM
About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc(ZTO)
NYSE
INDUSTRIALS
INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS
China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.