WallStSmart

FedEx Corporation (FDX)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

FedEx Corporation generates 4% more annual revenue ($94.72B vs $91.37B). UPS leads profitability with a 4.8% profit margin vs 4.7%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.57. FDX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C).

FDX

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.20

UPS

Buy

51

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 6.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.20
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

FDXSignificantly Overvalued (-28.7%)

Margin of Safety

-28.7%

Fair Value

$285.38

Current Price

$308.14

$22.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $285.38Overvalued
UPSUndervalued (+16.8%)

Margin of Safety

+16.8%

Fair Value

$144.21

Current Price

$108.30

$35.91 discount

UndervaluedFair: $144.21Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

FDX4 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Market CapQuality
$73.37B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
16.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.57B8/10

Generating 1.6B in free cash flow

UPS3 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Market CapQuality
$92.10B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
29.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.41B8/10

Generating 2.4B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

FDX3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.874/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
4.7%3/10

4.7% margin — thin

EPS GrowthGrowth
-68.9%2/10

Earnings declined 68.9%

UPS4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.574/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
4.8%3/10

4.8% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.6%2/10

Earnings declined 11.6%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : FDX

The strongest argument for FDX centers on Market Cap, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 11.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UPS

The strongest argument for UPS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : FDX

The primary concerns for FDX are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, EPS Growth. Thin 4.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : UPS

The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

FDX carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.

FDX is growing revenue faster at 11.9% — sustainability is the question.

UPS generates stronger free cash flow (2.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

FDX scores higher overall (55/100 vs 51/100) and 11.9% revenue growth. UPS offers better value entry with a 16.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

FedEx Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

FedEx Corporation, formerly Federal Express Corporation and later FDX Corporation, is an American multinational delivery services company headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.

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United Parcel Service Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.

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