GXO Logistics Inc (GXO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc
$48.23
+2.60%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.77B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$23.60
-1.95%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $18.20B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 281% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $13.50B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 1.0%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
GXO
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GXO.
Margin of Safety
+64.2%
Fair Value
$69.44
Current Price
$23.60
$45.84 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
ROE of 4.5% — below average capital efficiency
1.0% margin — thin
Operating margin of 2.6%
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GXO
The strongest argument for GXO centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GXO
The primary concerns for GXO are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 44.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.01 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GXO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
GXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.61 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
GXO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
GXO Logistics Inc (GXO) is a leading provider of contract logistics services, specializing in supply chain management and tailored logistics solutions for the e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods sectors. The company capitalizes on its extensive global network and innovative technology to drive operational efficiency and responsiveness for its clients, while also committing to sustainable practices. With rising demand for sophisticated warehousing and fulfillment services, GXO is well-positioned to capitalize on evolving market dynamics, supported by a seasoned management team and strategic partnerships aimed at promoting sustainable growth and enhancing shareholder value.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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