GXO Logistics Inc (GXO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc
$49.93
-2.61%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $6.16B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$24.46
-3.21%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $18.16B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 261% more annual revenue ($47.51B vs $13.18B). GXO leads profitability with a 24.0% profit margin vs 18.6%. GXO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.47. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).
GXO
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
ZTO
Strong Buy66
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-3234.2%
Fair Value
$1.90
Current Price
$49.93
$48.03 premium
Margin of Safety
+11.1%
Fair Value
$28.01
Current Price
$24.46
$3.55 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 119 in profit
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 20.3%
Generating 7.7B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Operating margin of 4.0%
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Earnings declined 55.5%
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GXO
The strongest argument for GXO centers on Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.0% and operating margin at 4.0%. PEG of 1.47 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.6% and operating margin at 20.3%. Revenue growth of 11.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GXO
The primary concerns for GXO are Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 191.8x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : ZTO
The primary concerns for ZTO are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.70 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 11.1% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (7.7B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (66/100 vs 49/100), backed by strong 18.6% margins and 11.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
GXO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
GXO Logistics Inc (GXO) is a leading provider of contract logistics services, specializing in supply chain management and end-to-end logistics for diverse sectors such as e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods. The company utilizes an extensive global network and innovative technologies to improve operational efficiency and scalability for its clients, while also committing to sustainability practices. As demand for warehousing and fulfillment services continues to rise, GXO is well-positioned to adapt to market complexities, supported by a highly experienced management team and strategic client collaborations that drive long-term growth and shareholder value.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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