GXO Logistics Inc (GXO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc
$48.84
-1.99%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.72B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$22.23
-1.02%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $16.93B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 281% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $13.50B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 1.0%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
GXO
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GXO.
Margin of Safety
+64.5%
Fair Value
$70.14
Current Price
$22.23
$47.91 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
ROE of 4.5% — below average capital efficiency
1.0% margin — thin
Operating margin of 2.6%
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GXO
The strongest argument for GXO centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.35 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GXO
The primary concerns for GXO are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 44.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.01 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GXO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
GXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.62 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
GXO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
GXO Logistics Inc (GXO) is a leading provider of contract logistics services, specializing in supply chain management and tailored logistics solutions for sectors such as e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods. The company harnesses an extensive global network and innovative technologies to optimize operational efficiency and scalability for its clients, while maintaining a strong commitment to sustainability. With the rising need for sophisticated warehousing and fulfillment capabilities, GXO is well-positioned to address market challenges, guided by an experienced management team and strategic partnerships that support sustainable long-term growth and enhance shareholder value.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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