GXO Logistics Inc (GXO)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
GXO
GXO Logistics Inc
$56.22
-1.59%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $6.47B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$25.14
-1.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.28B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 273% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $13.18B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 0.2%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 72/100 (B).
GXO
Hold47
out of 100
Grade: D+
ZTO
Strong Buy72
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+77.4%
Fair Value
$280.63
Current Price
$56.22
$224.41 discount
Margin of Safety
+81.1%
Fair Value
$131.93
Current Price
$25.14
$106.79 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 12.0B in free cash flow
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 1.2% — below average capital efficiency
0.2% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.0%
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GXO
The strongest argument for GXO centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GXO
The primary concerns for GXO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 200.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GXO profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
GXO carries more volatility with a beta of 1.68 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (72/100 vs 47/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. GXO offers better value entry with a 77.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
GXO Logistics Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
GXO Logistics Inc (GXO) stands as a premier provider of contract logistics services, offering comprehensive supply chain management and logistics solutions tailored to various industries, including e-commerce, retail, and consumer goods. Leveraging an expansive global network and cutting-edge technologies, GXO enhances operational efficiency and scalability for clients, all while prioritizing sustainability in its practices. With a growing demand for advanced warehousing and fulfillment solutions, the company is strategically positioned to navigate market complexities, driven by a seasoned management team and robust partnerships that foster consistent long-term growth and shareholder value.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
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