WallStSmart

CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 203% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $17.00B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 3.7%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.27. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).

CHRW

Buy

59

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 5.98

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.42
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CHRWSignificantly Overvalued (-48.5%)

Margin of Safety

-48.5%

Fair Value

$99.49

Current Price

$149.34

$49.86 premium

UndervaluedFair: $99.49Overvalued
ZTOUndervalued (+64.2%)

Margin of Safety

+64.2%

Fair Value

$69.44

Current Price

$23.60

$45.84 discount

UndervaluedFair: $69.44Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CHRW4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
38.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 39 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.9810/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Revenue GrowthGrowth
19.3%8/10

19.3% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
23.8%8/10

Earnings expanding 23.8% YoY

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
14.2x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CHRW4 concerns · Avg: 3.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.184/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
28.2x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
10.9x4/10

Trading at 10.9x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

3.7% margin — thin

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CHRW

The strongest argument for CHRW centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 19.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CHRW

The primary concerns for CHRW are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Thin 3.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CHRW carries more volatility with a beta of 0.92 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 59/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

CH Robinson Worldwide Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

C.H. Robinson is an American Fortune 500 provider of multimodal transportation services and third-party logistics (3PL). The company offers freight transportation, transportation management, brokerage and warehousing. It offers truckload, less than truckload, air freight, intermodal, and ocean transportation.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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