WallStSmart

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

United Parcel Service Inc generates 698% more annual revenue ($88.32B vs $11.07B). EXPD leads profitability with a 7.3% profit margin vs 5.9%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.63. UPS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 47/100 (D+).

EXPD

Hold

45

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 3.3Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 4.74

UPS

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.21
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EXPDSignificantly Overvalued (-37.8%)

Margin of Safety

-37.8%

Fair Value

$117.46

Current Price

$147.23

$29.77 premium

UndervaluedFair: $117.46Overvalued
UPSUndervalued (+35.8%)

Margin of Safety

+35.8%

Fair Value

$187.03

Current Price

$107.57

$79.46 discount

UndervaluedFair: $187.03Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

EXPD2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
35.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.7410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

UPS4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
33.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Market CapQuality
$91.40B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.4x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.19B8/10

Generating 1.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

EXPD4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
8.4x4/10

Trading at 8.4x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
7.3%3/10

7.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
3.792/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

UPS4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
5.9%3/10

5.9% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.993/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : EXPD

The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.

Bull Case : UPS

The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : EXPD

The primary concerns for EXPD are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : UPS

The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UPS carries more volatility with a beta of 1.10 — expect wider price swings.

UPS is growing revenue faster at -1.6% — sustainability is the question.

UPS generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UPS scores higher overall (47/100 vs 45/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

United Parcel Service Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.

Visit Website →

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?