Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$160.44
+0.19%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $21.79B
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$108.54
-1.52%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $92.51B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 690% more annual revenue ($88.32B vs $11.19B). EXPD leads profitability with a 7.5% profit margin vs 5.9%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.72. EXPD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 55/100 (C-).
EXPD
Buy55
out of 100
Grade: C-
UPS
Hold49
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-79.7%
Fair Value
$90.10
Current Price
$160.44
$70.34 premium
Margin of Safety
+15.7%
Fair Value
$142.42
Current Price
$108.54
$33.88 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Trading at 9.3x book value
4.4% revenue growth
7.5% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
5.9% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, P/E Ratio.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.59 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EXPD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.05 — expect wider price swings.
EXPD is growing revenue faster at 4.4% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
EXPD scores higher overall (55/100 vs 49/100). UPS offers better value entry with a 15.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
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