Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
$184.61
-2.26%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $25.63B
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc
$108.30
-2.47%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $92.10B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Parcel Service Inc generates 659% more annual revenue ($91.37B vs $12.04B). EXPD leads profitability with a 7.6% profit margin vs 4.8%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.57. EXPD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
EXPD
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
UPS
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-60.1%
Fair Value
$101.11
Current Price
$184.61
$83.50 premium
Margin of Safety
+16.8%
Fair Value
$144.21
Current Price
$108.30
$35.91 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 44 in profit
Revenue surging 32.1% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 51.5% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Generating 2.4B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Moderate valuation
Trading at 11.3x book value
7.6% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
4.8% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 11.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : EXPD
The strongest argument for EXPD centers on Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth. Revenue growth of 32.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : UPS
The strongest argument for UPS centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : EXPD
The primary concerns for EXPD are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin.
Bear Case : UPS
The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
EXPD profiles as a hypergrowth stock while UPS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
EXPD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.06 — expect wider price swings.
EXPD is growing revenue faster at 32.1% — sustainability is the question.
UPS generates stronger free cash flow (2.4B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
EXPD scores higher overall (64/100 vs 51/100) and 32.1% revenue growth. UPS offers better value entry with a 16.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Expeditors (Expeditors International of Washington) is an American worldwide logistics and freight forwarding company headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
United Parcel Service Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.
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