WallStSmart

Caterpillar Inc (CAT)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Caterpillar Inc generates 38% more annual revenue ($67.59B vs $49.10B). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs 13.1%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.29. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).

CAT

Buy

55

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 7.5Value: 4.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.40

ZTO

Strong Buy

69

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.74
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CAT.

ZTOUndervalued (+81.2%)

Margin of Safety

+81.2%

Fair Value

$132.23

Current Price

$25.37

$106.86 discount

UndervaluedFair: $132.23Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CAT4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$414.16B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
43.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 44 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.0%8/10

18.0% revenue growth

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.25B8/10

Generating 2.2B in free cash flow

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
Free Cash FlowQuality
$11.97B10/10

Generating 12.0B in free cash flow

Debt/EquityHealth
0.199/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.5x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.3%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.3%

Areas to Watch

CAT4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.174/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
19.4x4/10

Trading at 19.4x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
44.2x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CAT

The strongest argument for CAT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Free Cash Flow, Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.3%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CAT

The primary concerns for CAT are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 44.2x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 2.03 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CAT profiles as a growth stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

CAT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.52 — expect wider price swings.

CAT is growing revenue faster at 18.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (12.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 55/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Caterpillar Inc

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Caterpillar Inc. (often shortened to CAT) is an American Fortune 100 corporation that designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells machinery, engines, financial products, and insurance to customers via a worldwide dealer network.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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