WallStSmart

Caterpillar Inc (CAT)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Caterpillar Inc generates 43% more annual revenue ($77.77B vs $54.21B). ZTO leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 15.2%. CAT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.08. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

CAT

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 8.5Value: 5.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.40

ZTO

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 8.7Profit: 7.5Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.42
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CAT.

ZTOUndervalued (+65.7%)

Margin of Safety

+65.7%

Fair Value

$72.49

Current Price

$20.15

$52.34 discount

UndervaluedFair: $72.49Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CAT6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Market CapQuality
$286.26B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
55.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 56 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
20.5%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 20.5%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
17.3%8/10

17.3% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
46.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 46.1% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.26B8/10

Generating 3.3B in free cash flow

ZTO6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

EPS GrowthGrowth
58.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 58.1% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.2%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.2%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.0%8/10

Revenue surging 23.0% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

CAT3 concerns · Avg: 2.7/10
Price/BookValuation
13.3x4/10

Trading at 13.3x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Debt/EquityHealth
2.331/10

Elevated debt levels

ZTO1 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.964/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CAT

The strongest argument for CAT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.2% and operating margin at 20.5%. Revenue growth of 17.3% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 22.2%. Revenue growth of 23.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CAT

The primary concerns for CAT are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.33 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : ZTO

The primary concerns for ZTO are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CAT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.58 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 23.0% — sustainability is the question.

CAT generates stronger free cash flow (3.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

ZTO scores higher overall (78/100 vs 75/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 23.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Caterpillar Inc

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Caterpillar Inc. (often shortened to CAT) is an American Fortune 100 corporation that designs, develops, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells machinery, engines, financial products, and insurance to customers via a worldwide dealer network.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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