WallStSmart

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target

Matador Resources Company stock (MTDR) is currently trading at $61.05. Matador Resources Company PE ratio is 10.00. Matador Resources Company PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.07. Analyst consensus price target for MTDR is $63.15. WallStSmart rates MTDR as Hold.

  • MTDR PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
  • MTDR PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
  • MTDR intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
  • MTDR stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
  • MTDR fair value vs current price
  • MTDR insider transactions and insider buying
  • Is MTDR undervalued or overvalued?
  • Matador Resources Company financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
  • MTDR Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
  • MTDR analyst price target and Smart Rating
MTDR

Matador Resources Company

NYSEENERGY
$61.05
$0.13 (0.21%)
52W$34.11
$61.48
Target$63.15+3.4%

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IV

MTDR Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors

Benjamin Graham Formula · Matador Resources Company (MTDR)

Margin of Safety
-17.1%
Significantly Overvalued
MTDR Fair Value
$41.41
Graham Formula
Current Price
$61.05
$19.64 above fair value
Undervalued
Fair: $41.41
Overvalued
Price $61.05
Graham IV $41.41
Analyst $63.15

MTDR trades 17% above its Graham fair value of $41.41, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.

Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

WallStSmart

Smart Analysis

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) · 10 metrics scored

Smart Score

57
out of 100
Grade: C
Buy
Investment Rating

Category Performance

WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.

Investment Thesis

Strong fundamentals in operating margin, price/book, profit margin. Concerns around peg ratio and revenue growth. Fundamentals are solid but monitor weak areas for improvement.

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Key Strengths (6)

Avg Score: 8.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
20.80%10/10

Keeps $21 of every $100 in revenue as net profit

Institutional Own.Quality
92.82%10/10

92.82% of shares held by major funds and institutions

Operating MarginProfitability
24.10%8/10

Strong operational efficiency: $24 kept per $100 revenue

Price/BookValuation
1.348/10

Trading at 1.34x book value, attractively priced

Market CapQuality
$7.57B7/10

Mid-cap company balancing growth potential with stability

Return on EquityProfitability
15.00%7/10

Solid profitability: $15 profit per $100 equity

Supporting Valuation Data

P/E Ratio
10.0
Undervalued
Trailing P/E
10.0
Undervalued
MTDR Target Price
$63.15
29% Upside

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Areas to Watch (4)

Avg Score: 2.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-12.50%0/10

Revenue declining -12.50%, a shrinking business

EPS GrowthGrowth
-9.60%0/10

Earnings declining -9.60%, profits shrinking

PEG RatioValuation
4.522/10

Very expensive relative to growth, significant premium

Price/SalesValuation
2.076/10

Revenue is fairly priced at 2.07x sales

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Detailed Analysis Report

Overall Assessment

This company scores 57/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a C grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 6 register as strengths (avg 8.3/10) while 4 fall into concern territory (avg 2.0/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.

The Bull Case

The strongest argument centers on Profit Margin, Institutional Own., Operating Margin. Valuation metrics including Price/Book (1.34) suggest the stock is attractively priced. Profitability is solid with Return on Equity at 15.00%, Operating Margin at 24.10%, Profit Margin at 20.80%.

The Bear Case

The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (4.52), Price/Sales (2.07) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -12.50%, EPS Growth at -9.60%, which may limit upside.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 15.00% currently healthy but needing to be sustained. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -12.50% needing to reaccelerate.

Risk Considerations

Based on the metric profile, this is a moderate-to-high risk investment. The weight of evidence leans positive, with more strengths than concerns. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.

Bottom Line

Mixed fundamentals with both positives (Profit Margin, Institutional Own.) and negatives (Revenue Growth, EPS Growth). A cautious approach is warranted. Monitor for improvement in weak areas before increasing conviction.

Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.

MTDR Price-to-Sales(PS) Ratio Chart

Historical valuation based on market cap ÷ trailing 12-month revenue

MTDR's Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.07x sits near its historical average of 1.93x (86th percentile), suggesting the market is pricing in steady-state growth. The current valuation is 0% below its historical high of 2.07x set in Mar 2026, and 18% above its historical low of 1.75x in Mar 2026. Over the past 12 months, the PS ratio has expanded from ~1.7x, reflecting growing market expectations outpacing revenue growth.

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WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis

Data-driven financial summary for Matador Resources Company (MTDR) · ENERGYOIL & GAS E&P

The Big Picture

Matador Resources Company faces headwinds with declining revenue, though profitability provides a cushion. Revenue reached 3.7B with 13% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are strong at 20.8%, reflecting pricing power and operational efficiency.

Key Findings

Strong Profitability

Profit margin of 20.8% and operating margin of 24.1% demonstrate strong pricing power and operational efficiency.

Revenue Decline

Revenue contracted 13% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Free cash flow is -114M, meaning the company is burning cash. This may be acceptable for high-growth companies investing heavily.

What to Watch Next

Debt management: total debt of 3.3B is significantly higher than cash (20M). Monitor refinancing risk.

Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS E&P industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Matador Resources Company.

Bottom Line

Matador Resources Company faces challenges with declining revenue. While profitability provides a buffer, the long-term trajectory needs to improve. Watch for management's strategic response and whether the company can stabilize or pivot to new growth drivers.

This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Insider Transactions(49 last 3 months)

Total Buys
17
Total Sells
32
Mar 6, 2026(1 transaction)
EHRMAN, MONIKA U
Director
Buy
Shares
+267
Feb 27, 2026(1 transaction)
FORAN, JOSEPH WM
Director, Chairman and CEO
Buy
Shares
+468

Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings

Last updated: 10:05:38 AM

About Matador Resources Company(MTDR)

Exchange

NYSE

Sector

ENERGY

Industry

OIL & GAS E&P

Country

USA

Matador Resources Company, an independent energy company, is engaged in the exploration, development, production and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources in the United States. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Visit Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Website
ONE LINCOLN CENTRE, DALLAS, TX, UNITED STATES, 75240