Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) Stock Analysis — PE Ratio, PS Ratio, Intrinsic Value & 2030 Price Target
Exxon Mobil Corp stock (XOM) is currently trading at $158.16. Exxon Mobil Corp PE ratio is 23.70. Exxon Mobil Corp PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) is 2.04. Analyst consensus price target for XOM is $148.96. WallStSmart rates XOM as Sell.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) stock price prediction for 2030: Base case $159.92. Bull case $199.90. Bear case $119.94. See full XOM 2030 price forecast and methodology on WallStSmart.
- XOM PE ratio analysis and historical PE chart
- XOM PS ratio (Price-to-Sales) history and trend
- XOM intrinsic value — DCF, Graham Number, EPV models
- XOM stock price prediction 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
- XOM fair value vs current price
- XOM insider transactions and insider buying
- Is XOM undervalued or overvalued?
- Exxon Mobil Corp financial analysis — revenue, earnings, cash flow
- XOM Piotroski F-Score and Altman Z-Score
- XOM analyst price target and Smart Rating
Exxon Mobil Corp
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XOM Intrinsic Value Analysis for Value Investors
Benjamin Graham Formula · Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)
XOM trades 247% above its Graham fair value of $45.56, indicating the stock may be overvalued at current levels.
Based on Benjamin Graham Formula. Growth rate capped at 25%. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Smart Analysis
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) · 10 metrics scored
Smart Score
Category Performance
WallStSmart pulls financial metrics like revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation ratios and scores each one from 0 to 10 based on how strong or weak it is. Those 10 scores are grouped into 4 categories: Growth, Profitability, Valuation, and Quality — which form the 4 axes of the spider chart you see. The categories are then combined into a final score out of 100, but not equally. Growth and Profitability together count for 60% of the total, because a fast-growing profitable business matters more than just a cheap one. That final number maps to a rating (Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Avoid) and a letter grade, giving you one clear Stock Rating.
Investment Thesis
Strong fundamentals in market cap, institutional own.. Concerns around operating margin and revenue growth. Mixed signals suggest waiting for clearer direction before acting.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) Key Strengths (2)
Mega-cap company, among the largest in the world
67.48% held by institutions, strong professional interest
Supporting Valuation Data
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) Areas to Watch (8)
Revenue declining -1.30%, a shrinking business
Earnings declining -11.00%, profits shrinking
Very thin margins with limited operational efficiency
Paying a premium for growth, expensive relative to earnings expansion
Thin profit margins with limited profitability
Moderate profitability with room for improvement
Revenue is fairly priced at 2.04x sales
Fairly priced relative to book value
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) Detailed Analysis Report
Overall Assessment
This company scores 44/100 in our Smart Analysis, earning a D grade. Out of 10 metrics analyzed, 2 register as strengths (avg 9.0/10) while 8 fall into concern territory (avg 3.4/10). The category breakdown reveals uneven performance, with some areas requiring attention.
The Bull Case
The strongest argument centers on Market Cap, Institutional Own..
The Bear Case
The primary concerns are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Operating Margin. Some valuation metrics including PEG Ratio (2.05), Price/Sales (2.04), Price/Book (2.53) suggest expensive pricing. Growth concerns include Revenue Growth at -1.30%, EPS Growth at -11.00%, which may limit upside. Profitability pressure is visible in Return on Equity at 11.10%, Operating Margin at 9.53%, Profit Margin at 8.90%.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
Three factors to monitor going forward. First, whether Revenue Growth improves, as this is the primary drag on the overall score. Second, margin trajectory, with Return on Equity at 11.10% needing improvement to support the investment thesis. Third, growth sustainability, with Revenue Growth at -1.30% needing to reaccelerate.
Risk Considerations
Based on the metric profile, this is a higher risk investment. There are more areas of concern than strength, warranting a more conservative position size. Investors should size positions according to their risk tolerance and maintain diversification.
Bottom Line
Fundamental challenges outweigh strengths at current levels. Revenue Growth and EPS Growth are the primary drags. Consider waiting for meaningful improvement before committing capital.
Disclaimer: Smart Analysis is a scoring system developed by WallStSmart Team. Scores update daily using multi-model valuation framework. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions.
WallStSmart Analysis Synopsis
Data-driven financial summary for Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM) · ENERGY › OIL & GAS INTEGRATED
The Big Picture
Exxon Mobil Corp operates as a stable business with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. Revenue reached 323.9B with 130% decline year-over-year. Profit margins are thin at 8.9%, typical for companies in this phase that are reinvesting heavily in growth.
Key Findings
ROE of 1110.0% means the company generates strong returns on shareholder equity. Above 20% is considered top-tier.
Generating 5.2B in free cash flow and 12.7B in operating cash flow. Earnings are translating into actual cash generation.
Revenue contracted 130% YoY. Worth determining whether this is cyclical or structural.
What to Watch Next
Margin expansion: can Exxon Mobil Corp push profit margins above 15% as the business scales?
Debt management: total debt of 70.3B is significantly higher than cash (10.7B). Monitor refinancing risk.
Sector dynamics: monitor OIL & GAS INTEGRATED industry trends, competitive moves, and regulatory changes that could impact Exxon Mobil Corp.
Bottom Line
Exxon Mobil Corp offers stability with moderate growth and solid fundamentals. The valuation may present an opportunity for patient investors, though limited growth means returns will likely come from dividends and modest capital appreciation rather than explosive gains.
This synopsis is generated from publicly available financial data. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Insider Transactions(16 last 3 months)
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
TALLEY, DARRIN L VP - Corp Strategic Planning | Sell | -2,150 |
| Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|
TALLEY, DARRIN L VP - Corp Strategic Planning | Sell | -3,230 |
Data sourced from SEC Form 4 filings
Last updated: 2:40:36 PM
About Exxon Mobil Corp(XOM)
NYSE
ENERGY
OIL & GAS INTEGRATED
USA
Exxon Mobil Corporation, stylized as ExxonMobil, is an American multinational oil and gas corporation headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and was formed on November 30, 1999 by the merger of Exxon (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey) and Mobil (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New York). ExxonMobil's primary brands are Exxon, Mobil, Esso, and ExxonMobil Chemical. ExxonMobil is incorporated in New Jersey.