WallStSmart
MTDR

Matador Resources Company

NYSE: MTDR · ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P

$56.33
-3.91% today

Updated 2026-06-05

Market cap
$6.71B
P/E ratio
13.93
P/S ratio
1.87x
EPS (TTM)
$3.88
Dividend yield
2.56%
52W range
$36 – $66
Volume
1.8M

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for MTDR.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 55 / 100
P/E (TTM)
13.9x
vs 5Y median of 8.4x
PEG
0.83
Under 1.0 = undervalued
Margin of Safety
DCF limited for this profile
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

MTDR historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in MTDR's own 5Y range.

NOW
4.9x
5Y Low
7.0x
25th
8.4x
Median
9.9x
75th
16.3x
5Y High
MTDR is trading more expensive than 90% of the last 5Y.
90th percentile · Historically expensive

MTDR intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

DCF has limited applicability for MTDR

Standard discounted cash flow models produce unreliable output for unprofitable or near-breakeven companies. Revenue-based multiples such as P/S and EV/Sales, combined with the historical valuation position above, give a more reliable read for this stock.

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

MTDR valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG ratio under 1.0
PEG of 0.83 indicates growth is outpacing the multiple. Traditionally a buy signal for quality compounders.
P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 90th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
!
DCF limited applicability
Company profile produces unstable DCF output. Lean on P/S, EV/Sales, and historical valuation position instead of intrinsic value for this stock.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 13.93x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.87x

Is MTDR overvalued in 2026?

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) currently trades at $56.33 per share with a market capitalization of $6,711,833,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 55/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 13.9x, above its 5-year median of 8.4x. The PEG ratio of 0.83 suggests earnings growth is outpacing the multiple, a classic sign of undervaluation.

Looking at its own history, MTDR is currently trading more expensive than 90% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 90th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

A standard DCF model does not produce reliable output for MTDR under current conditions. For unprofitable or near-breakeven companies, revenue-based multiples such as EV/Sales and historical P/S percentile are more informative than intrinsic value calculations.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: MTDR trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 55/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is MTDR overvalued?

MTDR scores 55/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C+), a mixed overall profile. A standard DCF is unreliable here given the profitability profile, so valuation leans on revenue-based measures like EV/Sales and the P/S percentile below.

What is MTDR's fair value?

A standard DCF is unreliable for MTDR given its current profitability profile. Revenue-based approaches like EV/Sales or the historical P/S percentile are more informative for this stock.

What P/E ratio does MTDR trade at?

MTDR trades at a P/E of 13.9x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 8.4x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting above its own median means the stock is pricier than usual relative to its earnings.

Is MTDR a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for MTDR is Hold, from a Smart Value Score of 55/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile is balanced and best suited to investors who already have a thesis. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does MTDR's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, MTDR sits in the 90th percentile of its own 5Y range, historically expensive relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.

What is MTDR's Smart Value Score?

MTDR's Smart Value Score is 55/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.