New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares (NCEW)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
NCEW
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
$10.28
+0.05%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $31.04M
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$24.32
-3.76%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $19.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 111276% more annual revenue ($49.10B vs $44.08M). ZTO leads profitability with a 18.5% profit margin vs -24.2%. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
NCEW
Avoid21
out of 100
Grade: F
ZTO
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NCEW.
Margin of Safety
+67.2%
Fair Value
$75.82
Current Price
$24.32
$51.50 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
No standout strengths identified
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.0%
Generating 7.7B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -1.9% — below average capital efficiency
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NCEW
NCEW has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.5% and operating margin at 22.0%. Revenue growth of 12.3% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : NCEW
The primary concerns for NCEW are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NCEW profiles as a turnaround stock while ZTO is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
NCEW carries more volatility with a beta of 0.58 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 12.3% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (7.7B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (76/100 vs 21/100), backed by strong 18.5% margins and 12.3% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited, offers freight forwarding services in Hong Kong. The company is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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