New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares (NCEW)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
NCEW
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
$15.60
-13.33%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $54.40M
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$23.86
-0.17%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $18.20B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 100362% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $51.25M). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs -17.8%. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
NCEW
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NCEW.
Margin of Safety
+64.2%
Fair Value
$69.44
Current Price
$23.86
$45.58 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 33.5% year-over-year
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Trading at 10.1x book value
0.0% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NCEW
The strongest argument for NCEW centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 33.5% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : NCEW
The primary concerns for NCEW are Price/Book, EPS Growth, Market Cap.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NCEW profiles as a hypergrowth stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
NCEW carries more volatility with a beta of 0.58 — expect wider price swings.
NCEW is growing revenue faster at 33.5% — sustainability is the question.
Monitor INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited, offers freight forwarding services in Hong Kong. The company is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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