Landstar System Inc (LSTR)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)
LSTR
Landstar System Inc
$218.06
-0.68%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $7.61B
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
$22.28
-1.02%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $17.15B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 978% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $4.78B). ZTO leads profitability with a 17.9% profit margin vs 2.6%. ZTO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. ZTO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B-).
LSTR
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
ZTO
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-71.8%
Fair Value
$94.75
Current Price
$218.06
$123.31 premium
Margin of Safety
+64.6%
Fair Value
$70.28
Current Price
$22.28
$48.00 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Earnings expanding 36.9% YoY
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year
Generating 2.8B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Trading at 9.3x book value
1.6% revenue growth
2.6% margin — thin
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : LSTR
The strongest argument for LSTR centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, EPS Growth.
Bull Case : ZTO
The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : LSTR
The primary concerns for LSTR are PEG Ratio, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. A P/E of 62.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : ZTO
No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
LSTR profiles as a value stock while ZTO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
LSTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.88 — expect wider price swings.
ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.
ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ZTO scores higher overall (70/100 vs 51/100), backed by strong 17.9% margins and 22.0% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Landstar System Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA
Landstar System, Inc. provides integrated transportation management solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
Visit Website →ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Visit Website →Compare with Other INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS Stocks
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