Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsSU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (SUGP)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
SUGP
SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
$5.16
+3.20%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $11.55M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1268% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $192.39M). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs -9.6%. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
SUGP
Avoid29
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for SUGP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Reasonable price relative to book value
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -20.1% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 6.5%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SUGP
The strongest argument for SUGP centers on Price/Book, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : SUGP
The primary concerns for SUGP are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while SUGP is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
SUGP carries more volatility with a beta of 2.76 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
SUGP generates stronger free cash flow (-5M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 29/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →SU Group Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
SU Group Holdings Limited is a versatile investment holding company focused on uncovering and leveraging growth opportunities in diverse sectors, particularly within special situations and distressed assets. Leveraging profound industry expertise and a commitment to operational excellence, SU Group aims to maximize shareholder value while implementing innovative strategies across its portfolio. With disciplined investment approaches and in-depth market analysis, the company is well-positioned to navigate fluctuating market conditions and sustainably expand its asset base.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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