Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsOshkosh Corporation (OSK)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$18.51
-2.32%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.51B
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation
$147.37
-1.52%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $9.23B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Oshkosh Corporation generates 296% more annual revenue ($10.42B vs $2.63B). GEO leads profitability with a 9.7% profit margin vs 6.2%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
OSK
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.9%
Fair Value
$54.42
Current Price
$18.51
$35.91 discount
Margin of Safety
+32.8%
Fair Value
$259.60
Current Price
$147.37
$112.23 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
3.5% revenue growth
6.2% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : OSK
The strongest argument for OSK centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : OSK
The primary concerns for OSK are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while OSK is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
OSK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.39 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
OSK generates stronger free cash flow (526M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 48/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. OSK offers better value entry with a 32.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →Oshkosh Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA
Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures and markets specialty vehicles and bodies worldwide. The company is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.
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