Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$27.57
-2.48%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.63B
NSSC
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
$39.66
-0.18%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.27B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1297% more annual revenue ($2.83B vs $202.32M). NSSC leads profitability with a 21.3% profit margin vs 10.3%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.18. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy73
out of 100
Grade: B
NSSC
Strong Buy66
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+67.7%
Fair Value
$49.07
Current Price
$27.57
$21.50 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for NSSC.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
15.1% revenue growth
Strong operational efficiency at 32.2%
Earnings expanding 52.4% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Moderate valuation
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 15.1% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.18 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NSSC
The strongest argument for NSSC centers on Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 21.3% and operating margin at 32.2%.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : NSSC
The primary concerns for NSSC are P/E Ratio, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NSSC is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
NSSC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 15.1% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (194M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (73/100 vs 66/100) and 15.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells security products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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