Geo Group Inc (GEO)vsNAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC)
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$17.50
+3.31%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $2.28B
NSSC
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
$41.50
-2.90%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $1.48B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Geo Group Inc generates 1270% more annual revenue ($2.63B vs $192.03M). NSSC leads profitability with a 24.7% profit margin vs 9.7%. GEO appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.02. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
GEO
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
NSSC
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+81.4%
Fair Value
$85.18
Current Price
$17.50
$67.68 discount
Margin of Safety
+30.4%
Fair Value
$61.78
Current Price
$41.50
$20.28 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Earnings expanding 117.7% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.5% revenue growth
Strong operational efficiency at 30.6%
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit
Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Earnings expanding 32.2% YoY
Areas to Watch
Elevated debt levels
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 8.0x book value
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.02 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NSSC
The strongest argument for NSSC centers on Operating Margin, Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score. Profitability is solid with margins at 24.7% and operating margin at 30.6%. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are Debt/Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : NSSC
The primary concerns for NSSC are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Market Cap.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GEO profiles as a growth stock while NSSC is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.
NSSC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.43 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.5% — sustainability is the question.
NSSC generates stronger free cash flow (13M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (74/100 vs 67/100) and 16.5% revenue growth. NSSC offers better value entry with a 30.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
Visit Website →NAPCO Security Technologies Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells security products in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Amityville, New York.
Visit Website →Compare with Other SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES Stocks
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